4.30 Newmarket Nell Gywn Stakes Group 3

12/13: Were having their first run of the season
10/13: Had won between 1-2 times previously
10/13: Finished in the top 3 last time out
  9/13: Had only won over 6f or 7f before
  9/13: Placed favourites
  9/13: Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
  8/13: Winning distance - 1 length or less
  8/13: Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
  7/13: Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
  7/13: Came from the top 3 in the betting
  6/13: Won last time out
  6/13: Had won over 7f before
  5/13: Ran at Newmarket last time out
  4/13: Winning favourites
  3/13: Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 5 times in all)
  2/13: Trained by Richard Hannon
  2/13: Trained by Mick Channon
  2/13: Trained by John Gosden
  2/13: Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
  1/13: Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas

The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 9/1

Speciosa in 2006 was the last time the winner of this trial went on to land the 1000 Guineas. Nathra at 7/4 (Paddy Power) progressed nicely with each outing last term, building on her debut victory in a Salisbury maiden when scoring easily over the same trip at Newbury and then running a fine race in defeat when second to Minding here in Group 1 company in September (with Coolmore back in fourth). She bids to give Frankie his third straight win in this. Coolmore at 6/1 (Bet365) has no qualms about taking her on again in this with this Group 3 winner partnered by Ryan Moore for the first time. One imagines the winner will come from these two. That said the unbeaten First Victory won the Oh So Sharp here in October and the Godolphin filly should be considered having won a maiden as she liked over course and distance on her debut.