The Racing Horse believes the super-competitive Victoria Cup at Ascot is not a race to bet in but for those who do we offer our trends. There are 29 runners competing but there are some key stats that have relevance. For example 12 of the last 13 winners had raced in the last 5 weeks, whilst 10 of the last 13 winners carried 8st 10lbs or less, were aged 5yo or younger and had won no more than 3 times before. Winning over 7f in the past is another key trend, with 11 of the last 13 having been successful over this trip.

Totescoop6 Victoria Cup 7f (Heritage Handicap) Class 2

12/13: Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/13: Had won over 7f before
10/13: Carried 8st 10lbs or less
10/13: Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/13: Aged 5yo or younger
10/13; Had won no more than 3 times
  8/13: Finished in the top 4 last time out
  8/13: Unplaced favourites
  7/13: Came from the top 3 in the betting
  5/13: Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
  4/13: Ran at Newmarket last time out
  3/13: Winning favourites (1 joint)

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Looking at our ratings two horses stand out and they are Buckstay at 14/1 and Heaven's Guest at 25/1. We have them clear of the rest of the field but luck in running will be a key component today! Some of the pundits believe that the ground will thwart Heaven's Guest and that might be the case but he has won on good to firm ground though we do accept his optimum ground is probably good to soft. Can win in big fields and that is a positive today!