Coral Eclipse Stakes 2016

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thegurkha

The Gurkha gets weight from all the older horses and being rated 120 gives him a huge advantage. Furthermore he is likely to improve loads for this step up to 1m2f. This was highlighted when he got going too late in the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot. His participation has clearly scared some of the others away and it is hard to get away from his chance at the weights. He looks likely to give the Aidan O’Brien yard their sixth Coral-Eclipse success. 

The going seems to be a concern regarding Time Test and it is hard to see how Western Hymn can finish in front of My Dream Boat given their form. That said Clive Cox is 0-19 in the last 14 days with his charges. Charlie Appleby has always thought his Hawkbill will get a 1m4f let alone todays 1m2f so receiving weight he looks certain to finish close to the winner. At 10/1 he must be the value in the race and if he does not get warm beforehand will beat Time Test for second place.

3.45 Sandown: Coral Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

14/14: Won by a horse aged 5yo or younger
13/14: Won by a previous Group One winner
11/14: Placed favourites
12/14: Had at least 2 runs already that season
11/14: Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
  9/14: Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
  9/14: Placed in their last race
  7/14: Winning Favourites
  5/14: Won by an Irish-trained horse
  4/14: Trained by Aidan O’Brien
  4/14: Raced in the Epsom Derby that season (2 winners)

The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/2
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994 & 1993
Godolphin-owned horses won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996 & 1995
John Gosden has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

Our ratings suggest:

100 The Gurkha at evens (general)
 99 Hawkbill at 10/1 (Bet365 and Paddy Power)
 98 My Dream Boat at 6/1 (Bet365 and William Hill) 
 98 Time Test at 7/2 (general)

TIMEFORM COMMENTS
The Gurkha looks a top-class colt in the making after his impressive win in the French Guineas at Deauville and rather unlucky second in the St James's Palace at Royal Ascot, and this extra distance promises to suit if anything. With conditions likely to remain on the soft side, My Dream Boat is tipped to pose the biggest threat ahead of Time Test.

Disclaimer
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