Newmarket July Meeting Day 1

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse looks at some of the races at Newmarket today and posts trends and ratings:

2.10 Newmarket: BAHRAIN TROPHY (GROUP 3) 1m5f

14/14: Had 2 or more previous runs that season
12/14: Failed to win last time out
12/14: Never run on the July Course before
10/14: Favourites placed in the top three
10/14: Won at 3/1 or shorter
  9/14: Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
  9/14: Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
  9/14: Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
  5/14: Winning favourites
  4/14: Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 5 runnings)
  3/14: Ridden by Frankie Dettori
  2/14: Ridden by William Buick
  2/14: Ridden by Kieren Fallon
  1/14: Winners that came from stall 1

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

100 Harbour Law at 10/1 (Betway)
 99 Prize Money at 11/4 (Stan James) 
 98 Shabeeb at 5/1 (Totesport & Betfred)

2.40 Newmarket: ARQANA JULY STAKES (GROUP 2) (Colts & Geldings) 6f

13/14: Placed in their last run
13/14: Had won over 5 or 6f previously
11/14: Had 2 or more previous career starts
11/14: Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/14: Won their last race
  8/14: Won at 9/2 or shorter
  7/14: Unplaced favourites
  5/14: Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
  5/14: Trained by Richard Hannon
  4/14: Winning favourites
  2/14: Ridden by Kieren Fallon
  2/14: Ridden by Paul Hanagan
  1/14: Winners that came from stall 1

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
 

100 Mehmas at 9/4 (general)
 99 Ardad at 7/2 (Betway) 
 98 Silver Line at 13/2 (general)

3.15 Newmarket: PRINCESS OF WALES´S ARQANA RACING CLUB STAKES (GROUP 2) 1m4f

12/14: Aged 4yo or older (4yos have won 7 of last 9)
12/14: Had 2 or more runs that season
12/14: Previously won over at least 1m4f
11/14: Winners from stall 5 or lower
  9/14: Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  9/14: Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
  8/14: Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
  8/14: Unplaced in their previous race
  7/14: Favourites that were placed
  5/14: Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
  4/14: Ridden by Ryan Moore
  3/14: Won by trainer Mark Johnston

Big Orange won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

100 Elite Army at 6/1 (general)
 99 Muntazah at 8/1 (Bet365 and William Hill)
 99 The Grey Gatsby at 3/1 (general)

3.45 Newmarket: Betfred Mobile Heritage Handicap Cl2 6f

10/10: Did not win last time out
10/10: Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/10: Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
10/10: Had won no more than 3 times before
  8/10: Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
  8/10: Carried 8st 12lbs or less
  8/10: Came from a double-figure stall
  8/10: Had won over 6f before
  7/10: Winning distance - 1 length or less
  6/10: Unplaced favourites
  6/10: Finished unplaced last time out
  2/10: Trained by Andrew Balding
  2/10: Ridden by David Probert
  0/10: Winning favourites

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

100 A Momentofmadness at 16/1 (Bet365 and William Hill)
 99 Dancing Star at 8/1 (Stan James) 
 98 Projection at 20/1 (Bet365 and Totesport)
 98 Show Stealer at 10/1 (general)

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