Not today Josephine!

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse followed on from Saturday's Jamboreee with two bets yesterday and both won! One of those winners was beautifully ridden by Josephine Gordon and she looks a natural and a star! Hayley was good but...

.

KEY RIDES/SUCCESS FOR HUGO PALMER AND SAEED BIN SUROOR

We have been impressed with Josephine Gordon for a while now and she made it 6-13 for 48% for the Saeed bin Suroor stable when winning on Natural Scenery and a level stake profit of +6.63pts. Apart from the win itself she rode the most confident race and we can see why Godolphin and Hugo Palmer are using her and giving her the chance on decent juveniles. For those two stables she is 19-68 for 28% and +13.30pts. Digging a little deeper we notice she is 11-33 for 33% on 3yos and a profit of +12.17pts.

GORDON IS TACTICALLY ADEPT

Her win on Natural Scenery was poetic, total unison and 3-3. Crucially it was tactically adept also and against some of the top jocks. She had Paul Hanagan stalking her backside throughout the 2m but that mattered not. She was probably on the best horse but the pace was somewhere between steady and slow and she made sure she was best placed of the principals. For some reason Martin Harley thought he could win from stone last off a slow pace! Memo to Martin - you rarely win from last off a slow pace.

A DEFINITE BIAS AGAINST FEMALE JOCKEYS

The filly was up to 2m for the first time (half-sister to a 2m winner) but most importantly was better positioned than her main market rivals when the sprint for home began. She found a good change of pace to win easily, and there's more to come from her over staying trips. Josephine will surely get more rides (along with Adam Kirby) from Godolphin this spring and summer and she has clearly broken through a bastion of male dominance that dominates the sport generally. Trainer John Berry had also suggested Muslim owners have a bias against female jockeys and those thoughts coincides with our experience! She has some great rides coming up in the next week or so and we will watching with interest and especially on juvenile fillies (see Lingfield on Saturday for Hugo Palmer).

GIFTED AND STRONG RIDER - HUGO PALMER

The Racing Horse has a set of rules before placing a bet and one of those concerns jockey competence but Josephine Gordon is far more than a positive booking. Her statistics show the trainers have not used her on decent juveniles on Turf as yet and that must surely change this season given her performances for two of the top trainers recently. Hugo Palmer calls her 'a gifted and strong' rider and that speaks volumes. Gordon's rise is remarkable considering she almost quit the sport when more than 18 months passed between her first and second winners.

         Female riders to be champion apprentice jockeys

      2005: Hayley Turner (tied with Saleem Golam) 44 WINS
      2012: Amy Ryan                               40 WINS
      2016: Josephine Gordon                       50 WINS

WISHFUL THINKING BUT CHANCE OF MOVING FORWARD QUICKER

Finally, Josephine genuinely believes a woman will become champion jockey in Britain for the first time within the next 15 years and we appreciate her optimism but seriously, that is not going to happen. The fixed pyramid is not designed for her beliefs and though she rightly says it has been accepted that females can be as good as males the rigours of the sport over a season and all that entails are quite something else!

Saeed bin Suroor AW System 2016/17

Kananee             4.50  WIN   £1.00   +£3.50    +£3.50    100% 
Power Game          5.50  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00    +£2.50     50%
Ijmaaly             5.00  WIN   £1.00   +£4.00    +£6.50     67%
Team Meeting        2.00  WIN   £1.00   +£1.00    +£7.50     75%
Commander Cole      3.75  WIN   £1.00   +£2.75    +£10.25    80%
Strong Force        2.37  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00    +£9.25     67%
Leshlaa             1.67  WIN   £1.00   +£0.67    +£9.92     71%
Emirates Flight     3.25  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00    +£8.92     63%
Dubai Dunes         3.00  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00    +£7.92     55%
Good Run            4.00  WIN   £1.00   +£3.00   +£10.92     60%
Dubai One           3.50  WIN   £1.00   +£2.50   +£13.42     64%
Winning Story       5.50  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00   +£12.42     58%
Timekeeping         4.00  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00   +£11.42     54%
Natural Scenery     2.75  WIN   £1.00   +£1.75   +£13.17     57%
Famous Kid (saver)  2.50  LOSE  £1.50   -£0.25   +£12.92     53%
Strong Challenger   5.00  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00   +£11.92     50%
Prize Money         2.50  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.50   +£10.92     47%
Fast Landing        2.37  WIN   £1.00   +£1.37   +£12.29     50%
Really Special      1.67  LOSE  £1.00   -£1.00   +£11.29     47%
Thunder Snow        2.50  WIN   £1.00   +£1.50   +£12.79     50%
Natural Scenery     2.87  WIN   £1.00   +£1.87   +£14.66     52%  

           Selections 21 Win 11 Lose 10 P/L +14.66pts S/R    52%

betting-advice

RACE NOT RUN TO SUIT BUT PACAFI GETS UP!

After taking the short odds our Pacafi bet Uncle Alastair (Pacafi) we had a scare before collecting. The gelding was racing in an ordinary bumper in which being held up proved a distinct disadvantage but the wager pulled it out of the fire despite getting caught flat-footed and made it 2-2. Ryan Day's claim negated 5lb of the 7lb penalty and that was a big factor. Clearly Uncle Alastair is talented as the race was not run to suit as well as dealing with weight concession to the placed horses. The 5yo rates a staying chaser in the making and one we have put into our tracker file.

RUNNING OVER HURDLES NEXT SEASON - NICKY RICHARDS

After the race trainer Nicky Richards told us: “Given some luck you should see Uncle Alastair in 3m chases in a few years. He's not a typical bumper horse and has done well to win this with a penalty. He'll probably be running in two-and-a-half and 3m hurdles next season.”

.

*****Al Shahir 4.50 Newcastle at 6/4 (general). Placed in two NH flat races from two starts. Beaten 2l by Royal Village when second of 5 at 5/2 on his latest outing in a NH flat race at Southwell over 2m (good to soft) in November last year. WINNER at 6/4

****Derrynane 2.20 Newcastle at 6/1 (Betbright and Bet Stars) Placed in three NH flat races from five starts. Well beaten at 5/2 behind I'm A Game Changer when fourth of 11 on his hurdling debut at Bangor over 2m 1f (good to soft) last month.

***Pistol Park 4.20 Newcastle at 4/6 (SkyBet, Betfred and Totesport). He has won a hurdle race, a NH flat race and two chases from 2m to 2m 1f on good to soft ground. Beaten 3l by Ubaltique when second of 8 at 9-4fav on his latest outing in a chase at Haydock over 2m (soft) last month. Has won at Newcastle and Hexham this season. Now Wolf Sword is a non-runner is well clear of Clan Legend and the rest. WINNER at 4/6

Today's Pacafi: click here

Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that all gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *