Lockinge Stakes

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The Racing Horse is looking forward to a cracking renewal of the Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes Group 1 later this afternoon. Galileo Gold is lining up with Frankie riding and he is sure to be popular. He's a horse that's gone well fresh in the past so the fact he's not been out since October isn't a big worry, while he won at Ascot in soft ground last season. He is sure to have trained on and one for the shortlist. We offer our trends to find the real contenders:

1m Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (Group 1)

14/14: Won over a mile before
12/14: Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14: Had won at least 4 times before
11/14: Had won a Group One race before
11/14: Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14: Having their first run of the season
10/14: Aged 4yo
..9/14: Unplaced last time out
..9/14: Winning favourites
..4/14: Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
..3/14: Won by a mare
..3/14: Ran at Newmarket last time out
..3/14: Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
..2/14: Won by Sir Michael Stoute (Has won the race 7 times in all)
..0/14: No winners from stall 1 or 2


The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1
No winner aged 7yo or older since 1958

Aidan O'Brien to miss out

The powerful Aidan O'Brien camp send over the filly Somehow but she will have to buck the trends and is ignored despite her 3lbs advantage. Aidan O'Brien has only won this race once (Hawk Wing, 2003) and he unlikely to build on that. Breton Rock will like the ground and is a past course winner, but is yet to win beyond 7f so that disqualifies him also. Acclaim will not lose because of the ground. He is another course winner and heads here on a four-timer after progressing up from handicaps, to Listed to Group class in recent outings and there could be more to come.

Godolphin aiming for four from five

It is significant that Godolphin have a fabulous recent record in this race winning three of the last four, it could now be four of the last five. They run Toscanini and the favourite Ribchester and he looks all over the winner!

Best horse I have ever trained - Richard Fahey

The 4yo ran in some cracking races last season, including four Group 1s in his most-recent outings. He won one of those and was placed in the other three. Importantly, he was soft-ground winner at Ascot last season when landing the Jersey Stakes and will be well ridden with William Buick holding the reins. Trainer Richard Fahey told us: "I've said he's the best horse I've ever trained and if I had to sum up what makes him special it's just that he goes fast easily. Hopefully he'll go fast easily on the soft ground. He did win the Mill Reef there on soft ground. It was officially good to soft, but I think it was a bit slower than that so we aren't worried about the ground. Dubai wasn't desperate for a first run of the year, but I admit I did go there hoping to win. They don't give you $6m races that easily though, and maybe he was a little bit fresh, as he didn't really finish off. But he's come back well and in great order."

Godolphin Comments

E78,000 foal, E105,000 yearling, first foal; dam unplaced 1m-1m4f (RPR 58), half-sister to 1m6f Group 3 winner Tactic, Group-placd 1m3f winner Yaazy and Listed-placed 1m/1m4f winner Zahoo out of 1m2f winning daughter of Irish 1,000 winner Mehthaaf; showed bags of potential when second on his debut in good 6f Doncaster maiden in July 2015; duly improved when finding only one too good for him in the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes at York's Ebor Meeting; joined Godolphin prior to readily win in the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes at Newbury; acts on good and easier ground; hung badly left and was disqualified from second place on his reappearance in the Group 3 Prix Djebel in April 2016; fine third to Galileo Gold in the Group 1 2000 Guineas; won the Group 3 Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot; third in Group 1 Sussex Stakes at Glorious Goodwood in July; ready winner of the Group 1 Jacques Le Marois at Deauville in August; fine effort to chase home Minding in Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes on Champions day; another good effort when third in Group 1 Dubai Turf after a five-month break at Meydan in March.

The Racing Horse's idea of the result is:

1st: Ribchester 6/4   2nd: Galileo Gold 9/2   3rd: Acaim 8/1 

Today's Pacafi: click here

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