Bearing Fruit

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse has been gearing up for up 2018 and we intend to have our best season so far in our seven-year history. Lots of things are and have been happening and the rewards are bearing fruit. For example we now have a number of successful systems in play, they include the Willie Mullins Bumper, Saeed bin Suroor AW, William Haggas Up North, National Hunt Winter and one or two other smaller types.

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Regarding today we have a Saeed bin Suroor System runner in Dubai One 12.00 Lingfield and have taken the 3/1 best price guaranteed about the filly. This looks the best bet of the day given a kind trip from stall one. She is certain to be placed but if tuned close to 90% ought to beat today's rivals.

We are EXTRA excited today! The Racing Horse has shares in Kings Inn 12.15 Taunton at 8/11 (generally 09.36) and the 3yo gelding makes his NH debut and although conditions not exactly optimum we expect him to win - but his chance is reflected in the price. Paul Nicholls was predictably cautious and he told us: "An interesting juvenile prospect who was due to run at Kempton on Wednesday until I pulled him out when the ground became too testing as it was heavy in places. Soft going here will probably not be ideal for Kings Inn either but we need to get him started over hurdles and conditions will not be as demanding as at Kempton. He had just the one promising run on the flat in Ireland, staying on strongly to finish second over a mile at Killarney. King Inn's schooling over hurdles has been good from day one and, although this isn't the strongest race, I'd expect him to improve for the experience."

What else do we have today?

We look at the 2m4f118y Betfred Challow Novices' Hurdle Grade 1 and offer our 1-2-3

11/11: Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11: Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/11: Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/11: Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
10/11: Had raced in the last 6 weeks
..8/11: Favourites that finished in the top 3
..8/11: Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
..8/11: Won last time out
..8/11: Ran at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
..8/11: Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
..7/11: Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
..6/11: Aged 5yo
..5/11: Irish bred
..4/11: Winning favourites
..3/11: Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
..2/11: Trained by Nick Williams
..2/11: Ridden by Daryl Jacob

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

The ground will be heavy and not conducive to the very best racing but it does represent a chance to see some promising Novices' on show and these young staying types look to take another step forward in their careers. Poetic Rhythm at 10/3 is much more experienced than any of his rivals and we would suggest he should be favourite come race-time. He has improved in both starts this time round winning a Grade 2 at Chepstow and then third at Cheltenham, the win was upgraded when the first two winning since.

The trainer Fergal O'Brien told us: "If he handles the ground we're hoping he won't be too far away. He's in good form and is very straightforward. The trip won't be a problem, but our only question mark is the ground. He's already won a Grade 2 in the Persian War and I think he definitely deserves his chance in a Grade 1."

SELECTIONS: 1st: Poetic Rhythm  2nd: Dame Rose  3rd: Way Back Then

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

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