Pacafi (15th January 2018)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Frontiersman a cut above if he handles surface and trip

Charlie Appleby trained last year’s winner and his charge looks a cut above these despite a penalty. At this Class 2 level he has won two from three and a Listed winner at Newbury. His earlier second to Highland Reel in the Coronation Cup at Epsom was an even better effort and he’s taken to stay this longer trip. This 5yo Dubawi full horse has won four times from 1m 2f to 1m 4f. Took advantage of drop to listed level at Newmarket in September but underperformed there the following month. He makes his Tapeta debut after a break but clearly a class act! 

Working well on the all-weather at home - Charlie Appleby

Charlie Appleby told us: Frontiersman has been working well on the all-weather at home. We always wanted to try him over this trip and we might as well have a go on the all-weather as they tend to go a bit steadier, which will give him every chance of staying. He gives us every indication that he will get two miles and this will hopefully tell us whether to try and make him a Cup horse or to continue over a mile and a half in the spring. If he wins, it opens up a couple of options over the winter, including going out to Dubai or keeping him here for finals day."

Pedigree

Fifth foal; half-brother to four winners inc Australia (7f-1m4f inc at 2/Derby; RPR 129), Voodoo Prince (1m-1m4f; 109) and Aegaeus (1m2f-1m4f AW; 95); dam 7f-1m4f winner (124), won seven Group/Grade 1s, half-sister to useful 7f winner Cruinn A Bhord

Godolphin Comments

Fifth foal; half-brother to four winners inc Australia (7f-1m4f inc at 2/Derby; RPR 129), Voodoo Prince (1m-1m4f; 109) and Aegaeus (1m2f-1m4f AW; 95); dam 7f-1m4f winner (124), won seven Group/Grade 1s, half-sister to useful 7f winner Cruinn A Bhord; promising third on debut at Goodwood in June 2016, and improved to get off the mark at Newbury the following month; held in Sandown handicap next time before winning a 1m4f handicap at Newmarket; down the field in a Newbury Group race next time when the going was good to soft; good second in the Group 1 Coronation Cup at Epsom before finishing second to Hawkbill in the Princess of Wales's Stakes at Newmarket in July; below that level when third in the Group 3 Geoffrey Freer Stakes behind Defoe (soft); down the field in 1m4.5f Group 2 Grand Prix De Deauville in August, but took advantage of a drop in class at Newmarket the following month; beaten in a Group 3 in soft ground when next seen at Newbury; suited by 1m4f; goes well on good to firm.

Of his rivals

Watersmeet is match fit and proven over the trip and may prove next best and reverse earlier form over 1m6f at Chelmsford with the returning Curbyourenthusiasm, He’s closely matched with Cape Cova on latest running at Newcastle but Funny Kid’s form is hard to assess arriving from France on the back of a win on the all-weather at Deauville. The rest have a tough task on these terms including the veteran First Mohican, Jukebox Jive and former Ballydoyle inmate De Coronado.

Trainer & Jockey Form

Charlie Appleby could not be in better form with his horses. This year shows 5 wins from 9 runs for a massive 56% strike-rate and a level stake profit of +6.20pts. Like Saeed bin Suroor he excels with his horses on the AW surfaces. At Wolverhampton he has recorded 52 winners from 157 runners for a 33% strike-rate in the past five years. Adam Kirby is brilliant when riding for Appleby, they combine to score 78 winners from 258 winners for a big 30% strike-rate and a huge level stake profit of +55.78pts. This horse will be ridden by the best jockey on the AW. At Wolverhampton in the last five seasons he has won 128 times from 611 runners for an excellent 21% strike-rate. He has three rides at the course tomorrow and this looks his best chance of a winner! Only William Buick has ridden more winners for the trainer than Kirby...

Timeform View

FRONTIERSMAN has a few quirks but he's very talented (runner-up at Group 1/2 level last summer) and there's a chance he'll simply have too much class for his rivals here. Watersmeet is capable of smart form at his best and could be the one for the forecast spot ahead of David Simcock's Curbyourenthusiam.

***

  Today's Pacafi: click here

Racing Horse has made a typical good start for the month. See our results for January here

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