Pacafi (23rd January 2018)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Solo Saxophone 1.10 Wetherby

Not Suited by Catterick - Wetherby Should Suit Much Better

Solo Saxophone is a 4yo Frankel colt with only six runs under his belt to date. He showed plenty of promise in Ireland when running on heavy ground and was fairly useful on the Flat for Dermot Weld, and defied inexperience to make a winning hurdles debut at Catterick a month ago. He is bound to leave that bare form well behind and clearly the one to beat.

100/1

The breeders could not have imagined this son of Frankel winning a Juvenile Hurdle at Catterick. Formerly owned by Moyglare Stud he was bought of 62,000euros at Goffs and he created a commotion before being sent off as the 6/4 favourite. Horse and jockey appeared to be going well until the fifth-last when he made a bad blunder and then a horse ran across him at the next. You could have taken 100/1 about him winning at that point but to Harry Skelton's credit he got about him and impressively he took off.

Ground Appears to the Main Concern

He was not suited by Catterick's sharp track yet still won and the stiffer test here will suit and he is certain to take some beating. That said the ground at Catterick was good to soft and today he runs on heavy (soft in places). He raced on soft in Ireland with headgear but it was left off at Catterick.

Certainly Has an Engine - Harry Skelton

It was interesting to hear the views of Harry Skelton after the win: "Solo Saxophone got a bit of a fright at the first down the back, but one jumped across him. I thought he would struggle to get back into it on a tight track like this but to his credit he picked up well and from the second-last I always thought he was going to win. It is always a stiff ask to win first time over hurdles so I'm pleased with that. He certainly has an engine and he could be all right. He had fair form on the Flat though had blinkers or a visor on for most of his runs but he seemed fine and I think he could be better in a bigger field."

The colt still has an entry in the Fred Winter but would have to decimate this field to be of further interest! He is the only one of Frankel's to run over timber.

Great Record at Wetherby and the Course to Suit!

The Skeltons love taking horses to Wetherby and recorded 25 winners from 77 runners for a 32% strike-rate and a level stake profit of +12,30pts. The team's strike-rate for January is down from normal numbers with 5-46 for 11% (18 placed horses) but December and November showed over 21% for each month. Worth pointing out the Wetherby racecourse is a long oval course of a mile and a half, with 9 fences per circuit. It is an ideal course for a long striding horse that can freewheel round the course without having to decelerate around the bends. and we are certain that will suit Solo Saxophone.

Of His Rivals

Empire De Maulde is an interesting entry for James Ewart as he won four of his six bumper starts in France though not at the main tracks. That form is not easy to assess, but he's a half-brother to a chase winner, he has a hood on today. Oxford Blu, a winner for the Prescott yard at Chepstow on his final start on the Flat, made a spectacular hurdling debut with a 20l victory at Fakenham but then disappointed at Fontwell and will need to do better. Take The High Road was well beaten on his debut over timber at Catterick though still holds Investigation and About Glory, who were further behind.

Timeform View

SOLO SAXOPHONE was the first of Frankel's progeny to win over jumps, and he did so despite obvious signs of inexperience, so the follow up in on the cards. Oxford Blu also carries a penalty and he should remain competitive, while it will be interesting to see what Empire de Maulde is capable of (won 4 French bumpers).

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Saturday's Results: A great 7/4 win double with our two Pacafi's at 4/5 and 1/2. Better prices were available...

The Racing Horse will update the results of our 2018 Pacafi's as soon as possible especially for those who use percentage of the bank staking which is our preferred option. Our results will show advised odds/best price guaranteed, result, stake, win or lose, balance and strike-rate. The results will be shown at 1pt win stakes.

15 Solo Saxophone      2.25  WIN  1.00  +1.25  +2.13  S/R  60% 
14 Un De Sceaux        1.50  WIN  1.00  +0.50  +0.88  S/R  57%
13 Court House         1.80  WIN  1.00  +0.80  +0.38  S/R  54%
12 Native Appeal       1.62  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  -0.42  S/R  50%
11 Haulani             3.25  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +0.58  S/R  55%
10 Reiffa              1.83  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +1.58  S/R  60%
9  Ode To Autumn       1.50  WIN  1.00  +0.50  +2.58  S/R  67%
8  Carole's Vigilante  1.50  WIN  1.00  +0.50  +2.08  S/R  63%
7  Frontiersman        2.00  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +1.58  S/R  57%
6  Mr Whipped          2.87  WIN  1.00  +1.87  +2.58  S/R  67%
5  Redicean            1.67  WIN  1.00  +0.67  +0.71  S/R  60%
4  Mosseyb             1.72  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +0.04  S/R  50%
3  Jack Of Truth       2.50  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +1.04  S/R  67%
2  Arcanada            2.37  WIN  1.00  +1.37  +2.04  S/R 100%
1  Night Of Glory      1.67  WIN  1.00  +0.67  +0.67  S/R 100%

SELECTIONS: 15  WIN: 9  LOSE: 6  S/R: 60%  PROFIT: +2.13pts

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