OLBG Mares’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Tuesday 13th March 2018 Cheltenham Festival is the first day and provides three massive races - the Supreme Novices Hurdle, the Arkle Chase and the Champion Hurdle. It is imperative we get off to a great start and we have the information to make that possible. The Racing Horse will offer its members FREE collated trends and news on ALL 28 races giving members everything we need to make a profit!

 Just as last year we will use the successful Racing Horse Richter Scale which is a numerical percentage for expressing the magnitude of an event repeating itself. The power cannot be underestimated!

There is very little for us to go on for this race. This race was run for the first time in 2008 in honour of the late racehorse trainer, David Nicholson. The trainers requested a Mares only race at the Festival and got a name change last year as it was sponsored for the first time. With only 9 years of data there is not too much to go on.

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4.10 Cheltenham: OLBG MARES HURDLE 2m4f110y (Grade 2) 4yo+

10 of the last 10 winners raced at least 9 times before (100%)
10 of the last 10 winners finished top 3 in a Grade 1 or 2 hurdle (100%)
10 of the last 10 winners were Irish trained (100%)
10 of the last 10 finished in the first two last time out (100%)
.9 of the last 10 winners won over 2m4f previously (90%)
.9 of the last 10 winners were rated 150 or higher (90%)
.8 last 10 winners won last time out (80%)
.7 of the last 10 winners been ridden by Ruby Walsh (70%)
.7 of the last 10 were successful favourites (70%)

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 Because of Quevaga there is not really an average profile for the winner but we know the following:

  • 4 of the 5 winners started their careers in NH flat races.
  • 7 favourites, a second and a third favourite have won the last 9 renewals
  • All 14 runners that had run in the previous 16 days finished unplaced
  • All 21 runners that had run in the previous 19 days got beat
  • All 42runners that last ran in a handicap have been beaten with just one of them placed

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This factual representation is the very best starting point and this page will be periodically updated right up to the Monday night before the Festival. By then we will have the official runners and riders and a clear idea of the ground conditions. This template will be replicated on all the other 27 races so the reader has all the information they need to WIN at this year's Festival. It is a must-have tool and well worth the £9.95 membership charge...

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Home Page: 2018 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DIRECTORY

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

  Today's Pacafi: click here

 Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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