Betfair Super Saturday

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offer more key trends to point the reader in the direction of winners, if not, then at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners. The current going at Newbury is soft (good to soft in places) but rain is forecast so we will be looking for soft to heavy ground horses. We will post our 1-2-3 here tonight at 6pm...

More clues for Cheltenham

One of the highlights of the Jump season takes place at Newbury tomorrow. Betfair Super Saturday regularly showcases some of racing’s biggest names alongside the stars of the future. The £155,000 Betfair Hurdle, now the richest race of its type in the UK, boasts a prestigious roll of honour dating back to 1963 with recent winners including Zarkandar, My Tent Or Yours and Ballyandy. It also features the Grade 2 Betfair Denman Chase, a notable trial for the Cheltenham Gold Cup, with steeplechasing legends Kauto Star and Denman both going on from Newbury to win the sport’s flagship race five weeks later. With 70% of last years winners heading on to Cheltenham, Betfair Super Saturday is a great chance to see the stars in action before they head to the Festival.

1.50 Newbury: Betfair Cash Out Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) 3m52y

12/13: Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
11/13: Had run within the last 9 weeks
10/13: Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
..9/13: Aged 7yo or younger
..9/13: Carried 10st 13lbs or more
..9/13: Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
..8/13: Unplaced last time out
..8/13: Carried 11st 1lbs or more
..7/13: Came from the top 3 in the betting
..6/13: Aged 7yo
..6/13: Winners ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
..5/13: Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
..3/13: French bred
..3/13: Won last time out
..3/13: Winning favourites
..2/13: Trained by Nicky Henderson
..2/13: Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
..2/13: Raced at Haydock last time out

SELECTIONS 1st: Whatswrongwithyou  2nd: Air Navigator  3rd: Rockpoint 


2.25 Newbury: Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) 2m7f86y

12/14: Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
12/14: Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14: Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/14: Rated 150+
10/14: Placed favourites
10/14: Aged 8yo or younger
10/14: Came from the top 3 in the betting
..9/14: Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (3 winners)
..8/14: Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
..8/14: Had won over fences at Newbury before
..6/14: Trained by Paul Nicholls
..6/14: Won last time out
..5/14: Winning distance – ¾ length or less
..5/14: Winning favourites
..5/14: French bred
..5/14: Irish bred
..3/14: Returned a double-figure price
..3/14: Ridden by Ruby Walsh
..3/14: Went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman & Kauto Star)
..2/14: Ridden by Richard Johnson
..2/14: Won by the Pipe stable

6 of the last 11 winners were aged 7yo
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 10/3

SELECTIONS 1st: Bastien  2nd: Talkischeap  3rd: Barters Hill


3.00 Newbury: Betfair Exchange Chase (Grade 2) 2m92y

13/13: Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/13: Placed favourites
12/13: Aged 8yo or younger
11/13: Winners ran in that season’s Champion Chase (2 winners)
11/13: Raced within the last 8 weeks
10/13: Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/13: Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/13: Had won at least 4 times over fences before
..7/13: Won last time out
..7/13: Winning favourites
..6/13: French bred
..6/13: Trained by Paul Nicholls
..6/13: Raced at Newbury (fences) before (4 winners)
..4/13: Ridden by Ruby Walsh
..4/13: Ran at Sandown last time out
..3/13: Trained by Nicky Henderson
..2/13: Ridden by Barry Geraghty
..2/13: Winners went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
..2/13: Winners went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase

SELECTION 1st: Altior  2nd: Politologue  3rd: Valdez


3.35 Newbury: Betfair Hurdle Handicap (Grade 3) 2m69y

15/15: Carried 11st 7lbs or less in weight
14/15: Aged 7yo or younger
13/15: Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15: Rated 130 or higher
12/15: Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
12/15: Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15: Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
12/15: Came from the first 7 in the betting
12/15: Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
12/15: Aged either 5 or 6yo
10/15: Carried 10st 9lbs or less in weight
10/15: Placed favourites
..8/15: Returned a double-figure price in the betting
..7/15: Irish bred
..7/15: Won last time out
..7/15: Came from the top 5 in the betting
..6/15: Aged 5yo (including 6 of last 9)
..5/15: Winning favourites
..3/15: Raced at Cheltenham last time out
..3/15: Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
..3/15: Trained by Gary Moore
..2/15: Raced at Leopardstown last time out
..2/15: Owned by JP McManus
..1/15: Won the County Hurdle at Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)

20 of the last 21 winners have been aged 7yo or younger
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 14/1

SELECTIONS 1st: Kayf Grace  2nd: Kalashnikov  3rd: Bleu Et Rouge


  Today's Pacafi: click here

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