Betfred Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offer more key trends to point the reader in the direction of winners, if not, then at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners. This Saturday we look at the Haydock Grand National Trial Grade 3 and will attempt to pick the 1-2-3 on Friday night at 6pm though Blacklion, even with 11st 12lbs to carry, must be top of everyone's list...

Blacklion was fourth in last season's Grand National and won the Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) at Aintree in December and he looks the one to beat and the 7/2 currently available looks tempting. Nigel Twiston-Davies 9yo gelding gave followers of the heavily supported 7/4 favourite little to worry about, looking the winner several fences out before he stormed clear to win by nine lengths.

After, Twiston-Davies excitedly told ITV Racing: "It was a superb round of jumping, but it's a relief to see him win. We had a brilliant jumper fall in an earlier race so it's lovely when they go round like that. It was exactly what we'd hoped for. He didn't seem to quite get home in the National last year, but we dropped back a mile and our prayers have been answered. Others will come out of the woodwork for the National I'm sure, but he must have a very good chance if we ride him a bit more restrained, like we did today - we've only got eight lengths to find."

3.15 Haydock: Betfred Grand National Trial Handicap (Grade 3) 3m4f97y

15/15: UK-based trained winners
15/15: Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
13/15: Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15: Finished in the top three last time out
13/15: Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
12/15: Aged 10yo or younger
11/15: Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/15: Aged 9yo or younger
11/15: Finished in the top two last time out
11/15: Rated 135 or higher
10/15: Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
..9/15: Returned a double-figure price in the betting
..9/15: Carried 11st 0lbs or less
..8/15: Won last time out
..7/15: Unplaced favourites
..7/15: Winners ran in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
..6/15: Irish-bred winners
..4/15: Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
..4/15: Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
..3/15: Won carrying 11st 12lbs
..3/15: Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
..3/15: Trained by Lucinda Russell
..2/15: Winning favourites


The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

SELECTIONS 1st: Blaklion  2nd: Wild West Wind  3rd: Three Faces West

Just hope the reader took the 7/2 on Blaklion, by post-time we expect him to trade closer to 9/4 or even shorter...

***

  Today's Pacafi: click here

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