A Look at Kempton on Saturday

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offer more key trends to point the reader in the direction of winners, if not, then at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners. This Saturday we look at racing at Kempton and will attempt to pick the 1-2-3s on Friday night at 6pm.

1.50 Kempton: Pendil Novices' Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f110y

11/13: Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/13: French (8) of Irish (3) bred
10/13: Aged 6 or 7yo
10/13: Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13: Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13: Ran in the last 5 weeks
..9/13: Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
..9/13: Trained by Paul Nicholls
..8/13: Won last time out
..7/13: Winning favourites

Cyrname has kept on improving. He has won at Kempton and two and a half miles round a right-handed track suits him well - Paul Nicholls



2.25 Kempton: Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) 2m

13/14: Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14: Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14: Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14: Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
11/14: Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/14: Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
10/14: Placed favourites
10/14: Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
..9/14: Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
..8/14: Won last time out
..6/14; Winning favourites
..5/14: French bred
..5/14: Irish bred
..4/14: Trained by Paul Nicholls
..3/14: Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
..3/14: Trained by Nicky Henderson
..3/14: Trained by Alan King

Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival

The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

Redicean has won both his races there so far by ten lengths, and I couldn't be happier with his preparation. He is stepping up in grade, but he schooled on grass on Monday and I am looking forward to this next test - Alan King

SELECTIONS 1st REDICEAN 10/11f  2nd MALAYA 13/2  3rd BEAU GOSSE 4/1


3.00 Kempton: Dovecote Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) 2m

11/12: Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/12: Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12: Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
..9/12: Placed favourites
..9/12: Aged either 4 or 5yo
..9/12: Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
..9/12: Came from the top 3 in the betting
..7/12: Won last time out
..6/12: Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
..5/12: Winning favourites
..4/12: French bred
..4/12: Trained by Alan King
..4/12: Trained by Nicky Henderson
..3/14:  Ridden by Barry Geraghty
..2/14:  Trained by Paul Nicholls
..2/14:  Returned a double-figure price in the betting

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park



3.35 Kempton: Racing UK Handicap Chase (Grade 3) 3m

13/15: Rated 139 or higher
13/15: Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/15: Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15: Aged 9yo or younger
11/15: Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/15: Carried 10st 13lbs or more
10/15: Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/15: Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15: Came from the top 4 in the betting
10/15: Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15: Raced within the last 4 weeks
..9/15:  Rated between 139 and 150
..7/15: Had won at least 4 times over fences before
..7/15: Won last time out
..7/15: Carried 11st 5lbs or more
..5/15: Aged 8yo
..5/15: French bred
..4/15: Winners ran in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
..4/15: Raced at Cheltenham last time out
..3/15: Ridden by Paddy Brennan
..2/15: Winning favourites (1 joint)
..2/15: Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)..

The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

We won this race with a novice in Opening Batsman, and we're hoping to follow suit. Now's the time to step him up to three miles. He's done everything right so far. Let's hope he can keep progressing up the ladder - Harry Fry



  Today's Pacafi: click here

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