The Racing Horse offer more key trends to point the reader in the direction of winners, if not, then at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners. This Saturday we look at racing at the Eider Handicap Chase at Newcastle and will attempt to pick the 1-2-3s on Friday night at 6pm.
2.45 Newcastle: Eider Handicap Chase (Class 2) 4m1f
14/14: Had won over at least 3m before
12/14: Aged 10yo or younger
11/14: Carried 11st or more
11/14: Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14: Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14: Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
..9/14: Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
..9/14: Placed in the top 4 last time out
..8/14: Officially rated between 131-139
..8/14: Placed favourites
..8/14: Aged either 8 or 9yo
..5/14: Won last time out
..5/14: Won over 3m4f or further before
..3/14: Carried 11st 12lbs in weight
..2/14: Winning favourites
..2/14: Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/1
SELECTIONS 1st HAINAN 7/1 2nd BAYWING 10/1 3rd VINNIE LEWIS 11/2f
Here is what the trainers said of their horses chances with all three very positive - our advice is that one of these three will WIN!
Sue Smith: "Hainan stays the trip well, and will enjoy the soft ground"
Nicky Richards of Baywing: "He'll love the trip, and I hope he enjoys the ground. He stayed on very nicely last time. We wanted to get some practice over the course into him. We won't know whether he stays four miles until we try, but I'm very, very hopeful. Put it this way, I'll be very disappointed if he doesn't stay. He won't be far away."
Harry Whittington of Vinnie Lewis: "He's in excellent form. I couldn't be happier with him. We've kept him ticking over since his Sussex National win, and he's ready to step up again in conditions which should suit him really well."
Today's Pacafi: click here
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