Newbury Races (Saturday 3rd March 2018)

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 The Racing Horse offer more key trends to point the reader in the direction of winners, if not, then at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners. This Saturday we look at racing from Newbury with the Greatwood Gold Cup the feature race. As usual we will attempt to pick the 1-2-3s on Friday night at 6pm. Those who have been following our advice have been doing particularly well. You're welcome...

The first day was abandoned because of the frozen ground but it is likely the second will go ahead. Covers have been placed over the course. The day provides an opportunity to learn about GREATWOOD, a unique charity based near Marlborough which provides fulfilling futures for former racehorses and teaches emotional literacy and life skills to children and young people with special educational needs.

By the way, DO NOT MISS our trends for EVERY race at the 2018 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL! We go further with our trends and statistics than ever before and the day before racing give our 1-2-3-4 with a rationale to accompany them. To help further we offer our RICHTER SCALE to establish and calculate the main chances for each race. All you need to do is join the Pacafi Club for one month for just £9.95 which equates to just 36p per race. You can cancel the next day but still get all the month's information from The Racing Horse.

2.05 Newbury: Elite Racing Club Supporting Greatwood Veterans' Handicap Chase (Qualifier) Class 2 over 3m2f110y (ITV4)

8/9: Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/9: Aged 10yo
7/9: Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/9: Favourites unplaced
5/9: Carried 11st 4lbs or more in weight
4/9: Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/9: Won their last race
1/9: Winning favourites

Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

VERDICT: There is not a lot to go on here though one or two clues as opposed to hard trends. The ground will be soft with 12 runners entered. More on Friday night...

SELECTIONS 1st   2nd   3rd 


2.40 Newbury: William Hill Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) 2m4f (ITV4) 

14/15: Carried 11st 5lbs or less in weight
13/15: Won by a horse aged 8yo or younger
13/15: Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/15: Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
12/15: Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/15: Won over this trip previously
11/15: Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/15: Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/15: Officially rated 139 or higher
..9/15: Favourites placed
..8/15: Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
..8/15: Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
..7/15: Won by a French-bred horse
..6/15: Won by a horse aged 8yo
..6/15: Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
..5/15: Won by an Irish-bred horse
..5/15: Favourites  to win (1 joint)
..2/15: Won by the Pipe yard
..2/15: Ridden by Nick Scholfield
..1/15: Won their last race

Thomas Crapper won the race 12 months ago
Sametegal won the race in 2016
The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat


SELECTIONS 1st   2nd   3rd


3.10 Newbury: Apogee Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 2m (ITV4)

15/15: Won over this 2m trip (hurdles)
14/15: Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15: Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15: Aged 6yo or younger
12/15: Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
12/15: Carried 10st 10lbs or more in weight
11/15: Favourites unplaced
10/15: Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
..7/15: Ran at Newbury before
..7/15: Irish bred
..6/15: Rated 120 or less
..6/15: From the top three in the betting
..4/15: Won their last race
..2/15: Finished in first two in the County Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
..2/15: Winning Favourites (1 joint)
..2/15: Trained by Gary Moore

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1 


  Today's Pacafi: click here

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