Sun Bets Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Thursday 15th March 2018 Cheltenham Festival is the third day and still plenty of excitement to come. The Racing Horse is offering FREE collated trends and news to members for ALL 28 races!

 Just as last year we will use the successful Racing Horse RICHTER SCALE which is a numerical percentage for expressing the magnitude of an event repeating itself. The power cannot be underestimated!

For example, for this particular race we note there are 8 pieces of information (at this moment) that suggests we back something with a 89% chance or more of happening again!

The Racing Horse RICHTER SCALE: We are looking for an 7yo with 16 hurdle runs carrying 11st 10lbs. Rated 165, rested for 54 days and finished 1st on last outing starting at 11/2.

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The Stayers Hurdle is the main staying hurdles race of the festival (previously the World Hurdle). It is run over 3m and a Grade 1 event. It is open to horses aged 4yo or above and has provided us with some very classy winners over the years. Over the years the race has been the least competitive of the Championship races with no less than six favourites winning the contest since 2008 but this years renewal looks a much more open event.

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3.30 Cheltenham: Stayers Hurdle


16 of the last 16 winners had raced 1-4 times that season (100%)
29 of the last 30 finished in first 4 last time out (exception fell) (97%)
16 of the last 17 winners were 10/1 or under (94%)
16 of the last 17 winners were from the top 4 in the betting (94%)
15 of the last 16 winners had run 8+ times in their career (94%)
15 of the last 16 winners finished in the top 2 last time out (94%)
17 of last 19 winners were aged 6-8yo (89%)
17 of the last 19 winners had already won a Graded hurdle (89%)
13 of the last 16 winners had previously run at the Festival (81%)
.8 of the last 10 were not trained in Ireland (80%)
.8 of the last 10 won last time out (80%)
12 of the last 16 winners had won at the distance (75%)
.7 of the last 10 had won a Grade 1 hurdle previously (70%)
.7 of the last 10 won over 3m previously (70%)
.6 of the last 10 winners ran in the Long Distance at Ascot (60%)
.7 of the last 13 winners had their last race at Cheltenham (54%)
.5 of the last 10 winners were French bred (50%)
.2 of the last 21 winners were Irish trained (Solwhit & Nicholls Canyon) (10%)

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Other Information

No 5yo has ever won this race whilst only 1 horse aged over 9yo has won (1986 Crimson Ember)

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This factual representation is the very best starting point and this page will be periodically updated right up to the Monday night before the Festival. By then we will have the official runners and riders and a clear idea of the ground conditions. We will replicate this template on all the other 27 races so that the reader has all the information they need to WIN at this year's Festival. It is a must have tool and well worth the £9.95 membership charge...

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To view details of our 2018 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL DIRECTORY

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

  Today's Pacafi: click here

 Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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