Racing Trends for York (Day 3)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Trends at York proving very profitable

The Racing Horse found two winners from four races at the York Meeting on Day One (5/2 and 4/5), plus a combination tricast and a second choice winner (4/1) making it a profitable day. Day Two provided even better results with two more winners (5/2 and 15/2) plus a HUGE COMBINATION TRICAST with SPs of 9/2, 16/1 and 8/1. The Tricast paid £567.56 and the Trifecta £609.80. The Exacta paid £80 and the CSF £75.26). We have no news of anyone getting the big one but congratulations to DavidJ for picking up the Exacta.

Today we have more trends and advised nominations. We are a little behind with news and updated results and will post later today...

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2.20 York: Langleys Solicitor British EBF Marygate Fillies' Stake (Listed) 5f

12/13: Won over 5f before (92%)
12/13: Raced in the last 5 weeks (92%)
12/13: Won by a horse foaled in February or later (92%)
11/13: Drawn in stall 4 or higher (85%)
11/13: Returned 7/1 or shorter (85%)
11/13: Had won between 1-2 times before (85%)
11/13: Won last time out (85%)
10/13: Placed favourites (77%&
..6/13: Winners from stall 9 (46%)
..6/13: Winning favourites (46%)

 

Timeform View

STRINGS OF LIFE overcame inexperience to make a winning start at Newmarket last month, and she's a potentially useful filly in the making. It's hard not to have been impressed with Lily Agnes winner No Lippy, who's shown a really likeable attitude on both her starts, while Cotubanama, On The Stage and Carrie's Vision all have the potential for better.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1st: STRINGS OF LIFE 13/2  2ND: CARRIE'S VISION 13/2  3rd: NO LIPPY 5/1

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2.55 York: Michael Seely Memorial Fillies' Stakes (Listed) 1m


12/12: Priced 15/2 or shorter (100%)
12/12: Drawn in stall 10 or lower (100%)
12/12: Won between 1-2 times in the past (100%)
11/12: Won over at least 7f before (92%)
..9/12: Placed 5th or better last time out (75%)
..8/12: Raced within the last 4 weeks (67%)
..7/12: Horses from stall 1 placed (58%(
..6/12: Raced at either Newmarket (4) or Newbury (2) last time out (50%)
..4/12: Winning favourites (33%)
..4/12: Won last time out (33%)
..2/12: Ridden by Ryan Moore (17%)

Timeform View

SHEIKHA REIKA laid positive foundations as a 2-y-o and built on those exploits to make an encouraging return at Newmarket last month, scoring with a bit in hand. The return to slightly further will hold no fears and she can take the step up in grade in her stride. Lowther winner Threading seemed ill at ease both tries at Newmarket and is not written off here. Awesometank can also feature.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1st: SHEIKHA REIKA 2/1  2nd: THREADING 5/2  3rd: DARK ROSE ANGEL 6/1

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3.30 York: Mansionbet Yorkshire Cup (Group 2) 1m6f

14/14: Failed to win last time out (100%)
14/14: Came from stall 7 or lower (100%)
13/14: Favourites that finished in the top 4 (93%)
13/14: Had won over at least 1m4f before (93%)
13/14: Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting (93%)
12/14: Aged 5yo or older (86%)
11/14: Placed in the top 4 last time out (79%)
10/14: Aged between 5-7yo (71%)
10/14: Had won at least 4 times before (71%)
..8/14: Had run at York before (57%)
..7/14: Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3 (50%)
..7/14: Ran within the last 4 weeks (50%)
..6/14: Came from stall 4 or 7 (43%)
..5/14: Winning favourites (36%)
..4/14: Ridden by Ryan Moore (29%)
..3/14: Ran at Newbury last time out (21%)


Dartmouth won the race 12 months ago

Timeform View

STRADIVARIUS is a highly likeable colt who showed vast improvement throughout last year and, while a slight drop back in trip in a relatively small field isn't absolutely ideal for his return, he should have enough quality to grind his way to the front before he returns to the top level. Desert Skyline is another stayer to keep on side in 2018 and Max Dynamite has to be respected given his class.

The Racing Horse Verdict:

1st:  STRADIVARIUS Evens  2nd: COUNT OCTAVE 11/1  3rd: DESERT SKYLINE 8/1

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4.05 York: Equinity Technology Handicap (Class 2) 1m2f88y

16/16: Aged 7yo or younger (100%)
15/16: Had run over 1m2f before (94%)
13/16: Came from stall 5 or higher (81%)
13/16: Didn’t win their last race (81%)
12/16: Won over at least 1m2f before (75%)
11/16: Carried 8st 12lbs or more (69%)
11/16: Had a previous run that season (69%)
10/16: Won by a 4yo, including 7 of the last 10 years (63%)
..9/16: Finished third or better last time out (56%)
..5/16: Ran at York before (31%)
..4/16: Won by the favourite (25%)
..3/16: Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009) (19%)
..3/16: Ridden by Frankie Dettori (19%)
..3/16: Won by trainer John Gosden (19%)
..2/16: Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (13%)


Master Carpenter won the race 12 months ago
10 of the last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter

Timeform View

THUNDERING BLUE has some strong handicap form to his name and, having very much caught the eye on return at Epsom recently, he is fancied to prove himself on a competitive mark under Andrea Atzeni. Valcartier also caught the eye on his reappearance and is interesting, ahead of Titus.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1st: TITUS 8/1  2nd: VALCARTIER 9/2  3rd: KINGS GIFT 11/1

 

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

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