We expect to make a profit!

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The Racing Horse had another fabulous festival and once again helped members make a profit from their racing! Our trends and the betting advice based on them is the perfect starting point and genuinely believe our service is as good as anything comparable. The beauty of it from a members perspective is our passion and commitment to the cause and that we bet on the selections we advise. We do not tip, wheelbarrows tip, we offer serious betting advice. Here is a quick recap.

Before DAY 1 we told our members we EXPECT to make a profit over the four days. We did! We reminded our service costs 33p per day.

TOP 4 TRAINERS at YORK for 2018
Richard Fahey:  15 winners from 87 runners for 17%  (+39.00)
Mark Johnston:   7 winners from 25 runners for 28%   (+7.35)
John Gosden:     5 winners from 11 runners for 45%   (+4.91)
Michael Dods:    4 winners form 19 runners for 21%  (+12.83)

We produced the table above showing Richard Fahey, Mark Johnston and John Gosden as being the top three trainers at the track for 2018 and said: "It might be worth noting who are the top trainers at the course so far in 2018, if you do not back them then perhaps it makes sense to use a saver on them?" How did they do?

Richard Fahey: Red Balloons 33/1 WINNER (paid 40/1 on the Tote), Fool For You 16/1 (2nd).

Mark Johnston: Poet's Society 20/1 WINNER.

John Gosden: Roaring Lion 3/1 WINNER, Lah Ti Dar 4/6 WINNER, Coronet 4/1 (2nd), Stradivarius 4/11 WINNER, Legends Of War 14/1 (2nd), Muntahaa 11/1 WINNER and Weekender 15/2 (second) and the Exacta paid £138.20.

If the above was our only profitable advice it would have been deemed a success but we also advised "Persian Moon and Phoenix Of Spain are closely matched on Sandown  running and our nomination was borderline, we are backing these two against the field at these prices. Phoenix Of Spain WINNER at 6/1 and Persian Moon (who we advised to back each-way) was third at 11/2. In our second race Cross Counter was 2nd at 7/4 but in our third and final bet for Day 1 we backed Roaring Lion WINNER at 3/1 to beat Poet's Word at 13/8 and landed the Exacta paying £8.30.

So what a start, setting aside peripheral advice we made 7pts profit. DAY 2 was spoilt when Firmament was yet again denied a kind trip and was third at 15/2 so the each-way money landed, but we grabbed the 1-2 in the last of our four races when Sea Of Class WINNER 7/4 bolted up beating Coronet 6/1 (second). The Exacta paid £8.10. Also, we emphatically reminded our members "We do NOT think Laurens (3/1) can win this race against our two." At the end of the day we remained 4.75pts up.

By the way, we backed Lah Ti Dar at even money as our Pacafi and she bolted in also!

DAY 3 saw us backing Stradivarius WINNER at 2/5, Shine So Bright had an unkind trip but was an each-way to nothing bet at 4/1 and of course Battaash got beat, though we highlighted the chance of Mabs Cross at 18/1 who got beat a nose. But just 1 winner from 3 bets.

DAY 4 we made Mustashry an each-way banker at 9/2 (2nd) before nominating Ghostwatch WINNER at 14/1 to beat Supernova 6/1 (2nd). The Exacta paid £101.30 and we nearly landed a £1,000+ Trifecta when Mekong was beaten a neck for third place. We quickly followed up when Expert Eye WINNER at 6/4 (missed the 7/4). So looking at nominated winners alone we made a handsome profit of 16.65pts.

Can you believe whilst all this was going on we lost three members, one of them MM said our service was not busy enough for him. He was referring in particular to our Pacafi but we found his comments harsh! We did remind him we are part of 2% who win from betting but that did not convince him...

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

The Racing Horse Recitation

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

 Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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