Racing Trends for Newmarket (6 October 2018)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers more powerful racing trends in tandem with perceptive betting advice for the 3.15 Newmarket and the Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) for Fillies & Mares over a one mile. We also offer our must-have RACECOURSE TEMPLATES and when used in partnership with the racing trends and advice gives our members a complete package of pertinence and information. Make no mistake, these figures have absolute and critical relevance - to ignore them without factoring/processing invites negative influences to your wager.

FAVOURITES
NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)       HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)

2yo:    67-167 for 40%   (-3.89)     7-26  for 27%   (-5.29)
3yo:    46-132 for 35%  (-13.76)    38-131 for 29%  (-21.01)
4yo+:   18-52  for 35%   (-3.48)    29-119 for 24%  (-10.51)
Total: 131-351 for 37%  (-21.13)    74-276 for 27%  (-36.81)

TOP TRAINERS at Newmarket for 2018
Charlie Appleby: 12 wins from 42 runners for 29%  (-0.84)
John Gosden:      8 wins from 48 runners for 17%  (+1.37)
Roger Varian:     7 wins from 41 runners for 17%  (-8.50)
Mark Johnston:    6 wins from 36 runners for 17%  (-0.87)
Aidan O'Brien:    5 wins from 24 runners for 21%  (+2.11)
Owen Burrows      4 wins from 10 runners for 40% (+27.00)

TOP JOCKEYS at Newmarket for 2018
William Buick:   13 winners from 49 rides for 27%  (-3.34)
Jim Crowley:      5 winners from 36 rides for 14% (-18.37)
Oisin Murphy:     5 winners from 37 rides for 14%  (-4.75)
Ryan Moore:       5 winners from 36 rides for 14% (-17.87)
Donnacha O'Brien: 4 winners from 5  rides for 80% (+16.61)

This race is named after Sun Chariot, a filly that won the fillies triple crown in 1942. The race was established in 1966 and was originally for 3yo fillies over a distance of 1 mile and  2 furlongs. The race achieved Group 2 status in 1971 and was opened to older horses in 1974. In 2000 the distance was cut to 1 mile and in 2004 it was promoted to Group 1 status. Lester Piggott rode the winner 6 times and Luca Cumani has trained 6 winners.

3.15 Newmarket: Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) 1m

11/11: Came from stall 9 or lower (100%)
12/14: Won over at least 1m before (86%)
12/14: Previous Group winners (86%)
12/14: Won between 3-5 times before (86%)
11/14: Raced in the last 6 weeks (79%)
10/14: Rated between 113 and 119 (71%)
..9/13: Distance winners (69%)
..9/14:  Previous Group One winners (64%)
..8/13: Course winners (62%)
..7/14: Aged 3yo (50%)
..6/13: Group 1 winners (46%)
..5/13: Winning favourites (1 co-favourite) (38%)
..5/13: Top rated winners (38%)
..5/14: Winning favourites (1 co favourite) (36%)
..5/14: French-trained winners (36%)
..5/14: Raced at Deauville last time out (36%)
..4/12: Winners from stall 1 (33%)
..4/14: Returned a double-figure price in the betting (29%)
..3/14: Won last time out (21%)
..3/14: Ridden by Ryan Moore (21%)
..2/14: Won by a previous winner of the race (14%)
..1/13: Unrated winner (in 2008) (8%)

Roly Poly (4/1) won the race in 2017
16/1 has been the highest winning SP and 11/8 the lowest in the last 13 years.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2.

TOOF: Trainer's with runners hopelessly out of form include Marco Botti (3-49) and Martyn Meade (1-17 since 1 September 2018)

TIMEFORM

WIND CHIMES posted a very high level of form when just edged out in the Moulin and is narrowly preferred to the very consistent Laurens who goes in search of a fourth Group 1 success of the year. Veracious likely has more to offer, while Aljazzi won't be too far away if recapturing the level she showed when winning impressively at Royal Ascot

THE RACING HORSE VERDICT

1: WIND CHIMES 9/4 (general 18.17)  2: LAURENS 7/2 (WINNER)  3: CLEMMIE 15/2 (BetVictor and Coral)

Wind Chimes is a very smart filly. Ready winner of Deauville Group 3 in August. Stepped up again when head second of 11 to Recoletos in Prix du Moulin at Longchamp last time. Does look a two-horse race and we considered this one as a Pacafi with a stake-saver on Laurens.

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

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