The Racing Horse offers powerful racing trends in tandem with perceptive betting advice for Huntingdon on Sunday. To aid the process we offer valuable information in the shape of our unique Racecourse Templates, where we look at the performance of the different disciplines in both handicap and non-handicap National Hunt races. Finally, we highlight the latest movers and shakers for the course in 2018. This trilateral approach offers absolute relevance and because of its importance/weight this feature is now part of the service we offer our members.
The ABF Peterborough Chase is Huntingdon Racecourse’s most established and prestigious racing event of the year. Since the race was first staged in 1969 the racecourse has witnessed some of the most famous names in jump racing win the Grade 2 Listed race - including Desert Orchid, Remittance Man, Dublin Flyer, One Man, Best Mate, Edredon Bleu and Monet’s Garden.
FAVOURITES NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) Hurdle: 51-127 for 40% (-35.10) 49-153 for 32% (-4.12) Chase: 16-34 for 47% (-5.48) 43-133 for 32% (-15.82) NHF: 20-50 for 40% (-6.33) 0-0 for - Total: 87-211 for 41% (-46.90) 92-286 for 32% (-19.90) TOP TRAINERS at Huntingdon for 2018/19 season Olly Murphy: 3 wins from 5 for 60% (+1.79) Dr R Newland: 3 wins from 6 for 50% (+2.47) Oliver Greenall: 2 wins from 3 for 67% (+2.50) Oliver Sherwood: 2 wins from 4 for 50% (+11.50) James Eustace: 2 wins from 5 for 40% (+15.00) TOP JOCKEYS at Huntingdon for 2018/19 season James Bowen: 4 wins from 10 for 40% (+8.90) Daryl Jacob: 3 wins from 7 for 43% (+14.11) Nico de Boinville: 3 wins from 9 for 33% (+0.08) Sean Bowen: 3 wins from 10 for 30% (+11.37) Paddy Brennan: 3 wins from 13 for 23% (+23.40)
2.25 Huntingdon: Tattersalls Ireland Edredon Bleu Chase (Registered As The Peterborough Chase) (Grade 2) 2m3f189y
15/16: Won a race at Grade 2 or higher before (94%)
14/16: Came from the first three in the betting (88%)
14/16: Won (fences) over at least 2m4f before (88%)
13/16: Winners that ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (81%)
13/16: Aged 9yo (81%)
13/16: Raced within the last 8 weeks (81%)
13/16: Priced 5/1 or shorter (81%)
13/16: Officially rated 155 or higher (81%)
12/16: Won at least 4 times over fences before (75%)
12/16: Placed fifth or better last time out (75%)
12/16: Either Irish (6) or French (6) bred (75%)
11/16: Had between 1-2 previous runs already that season (69%)
11/16: Placed favourites (69%)
..8/16: Fin 7th or better (no winners) in season’s Ryanair Chase (50%)
..8/16: Aged 6 or 7yo (50%)
..7/16: Former Grade 1 chase winners (44%)
..7/16: Winning favourites (1 joint) (44%)
..6/16: Won last time out (38%)
..3/16: Ran at Aintree in the Old Roan Chase last time out (19%)
..3/16: Trained by Nicky Henderson (19%)
..2/16: Trained by Philip Hobbs (13%)
..1/16: Won at season’s Cheltenham Festival (2002 Best Mate, Gold Cup) (6%)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 7/2
Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Newbury
2017: Top Notch (4/9 fav)
2016: Josses Hill (7/4 fav)
2015: Al Ferof (9/4)
2014: Wishfull Thinking (13/2)
2013: Riverside Theatre (9/4 fav)
2012: Menorah (7/2)
2011: Gauvain (15/2)
2010: Tartak (11/4)
2009: Deep Purple (12/1)
2008: Monet’s Garden (5/1)
2007: Racing Demon (1/4 fav)
2006: Racing Demon (13/8 jfav)
2005: Impek (5/1)
2004: Le Roi Miguel (15/8 fav)
2003: Jair du Cochet (10/3)
2002: Best Mate (8/15 fav)
Note: 2012 renewal was staged at Kempton
Charbel gave Politologue a bit to think about in an Ascot Grade 2 last time and is selected to make the most of the weight he receives from Haldon Gold Cup winner God's Own. Art Mauresque also has each-way claims in a race where a few arrive with question marks surrounding their current form.
THE RACING HORSE VERDICT:
1: CHARBEL 9/4 (general 17.18) 2: RENES GIRL 7/1 (Unibet and Boylesports) 3: SAN BENEDETO 12/1 (Betfair and Paddy Power).
Charbel is a winner of two hurdle races, two NH flat races and two chases from 2m to 2m 3f on ground varying from good to heavy. Beaten 1/2l by Politologue when second of 6 at 5/2 on his latest outing in a Grade 2 chase in the Group 2 Christy 1965 Chase at Ascot over 2m 5f (good to soft) last month. He came on for his return to land a Chepstow handicap with a career-best effort in October and with cheekpieces refitted he has leading claims.
Today's Pacafi: click here
Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.
The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.