Racecourse Template for Ludlow

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our powerful RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Ludlow on Thursday 3 January 2019. First we look at the performance of the different disciplines in both handicap and non-handicap National Hunt races. A cursory glance at the two sets of figures show a disparity that must be factored into thought processes! Ironically, despite a lower strike-rate in handicaps the favourites show a bigger level-stake profit!

Assuming they have runners or rides we also highlight the trainers and jockeys most likely to be involved given current performances.

LUDLOW FAVOURITES
NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)       HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)

Hurdle:   67-135 for 50%  (-7.43)   39-114 for 34%  (-0.74)
Chase:    17-35  for 49%  (-0.59)   56-143 for 39% (+30.32)
NHF:      15-40  for 38%  (-4.96)    0-0   for  - 
Total:    99-210 for 47% (-12.98)   95-257 for 37% (+29.58)

TOP TRAINERS at Ludlow for current season
Philip Hobbs:    5 wins from  9 for 56% (+19.35)
Nicky Henderson: 4 wins from 11 for 36%  (-2.17)
Paul Nicholls:   4 wins from 13 for 31%  (-2.50)
Henry Daly:      4 wins from 19 for 21% (-10.81)
Evan Williams:   3 wins from 34 for  9% (-16.62)


TOP JOCKEYS at Ludlow for current season
Richard Johnson:   7 wins from 15 for 47%  (+9.52)
Harry Cobden:      4 wins from 16 for 25%  (-5.50)
Micheal Nolan:     3 wins from  6 for 50% (+12.25)
Nico de Boinville: 3 wins from  9 for 33%  (-0.65)
Tom Cannon:        2 wins from  6 for 33%  (-0.50)

Paul Nicholls, Philip Hobbs, Henry Daly and Nicky Henderson have no runners at the course tomorrow but Evan Williams runs 4. Of the jump jockeys Richard Johnson has 4 decent rides and is almost certain to ride a winner. Nico de Boinville has 2 interesting rides and Tom Cannon rides a 100/1 shot. Micheal Nolan and Harry Cobden have no rides at the course. From the information we have supplied/offered who are the main players and what are the conclusions?

EVAN WILLIAMS, RICHARD JOHNSON and NICO DE BOINVILLE

On a quiet day's racing we suggest Evan Williams, Richard Johnson and Nico de Boinville will have some sort of success. Ludlow is Evan Williams favourite/number one racecourse for winners scoring 112-723 for 15%. Richard Johnson is 168-766 for 22% at the course and Nico de Boinville is riding at 25% generally this season, at Ludlow he is 11-59 for 19% (+0.08). Oh, and Noel Fehily is 40% when riding hurdling favourites One of the three named will feature and be part of at least one winner...

ROSSA RYAN

Just a quick word on Rossa Ryan who rides just one tomorrow at Chelmsford with Lacan 5.20 at 9/1 (Bet365 and Betbright 18.41) for Brett Johnson but looks to have place chances at best. He has 3 rides at Kempton on Friday and then goes to Wolverhampton later that day to ride just one. He could record his 100th UK winner on Friday.

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Today's Pacafi: click here

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