2019 Cheltenham Festival (Home Page)

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The Racing Horse offers our powerful RACECOURSE TEMPLATE, TRENDS and BETTING ADVICE for every race of the 2019 Cheltenham Festival contained in a made to measure 33-piece extravaganza. It is our aim to help/prepare/inform our members by giving them all the pertinent information they need for the four-day spectacular!

 

Left-handed, galloping, undulating and testing track with stiff fences. The Old course has a circuit of 1m4f with the new course 1/2f longer. Only two hurdles in the final 7f on the New course.

Cheltenham Festival is the largest event in the world of National Hunt Races. Every year, about 260,000 spectators and participants from all over the world come to Cheltenham Racecourse in Cheltenham, Gloucestershire.

The purpose of our HOME PAGE is to link all of our 33 pages together. First, we look at the performance of the different disciplines in both handicap and non-handicap National Hunt Races at this course over the past five years. A cursory glance at the two sets of figures show a disparity that must be factored into thought processes! Favourites in handicaps have a particularly poor record at this course and hit just 17%, that's 28% less than favourites in non-handicap hurdles and 25% less than favourites in non-handicap chases!

We also highlight the trainers and jockeys most likely to be involved given the performances at the course last season. For the festival we are duty bound to look at the Irish raiders and particularly the W P Mullins and G Elliott stables. The day before racing we will look at each and every runner from these two stables and comment.

The Racecourse Templates are underpinned with Racing Trends. The profiling of races help sift/filter the contenders from the pretenders and gives an overview of what type of entry combination are most likely to prosper. Equally, it candidly reveals those carrying negative traits making it an essential tool/information for layers.

Finally, we offer our astute betting advice. This trilateral approach or ASSEMBLAGE as we call it, offers absolute relevance and because of its importance/weight this feature is now part of the service we provide our members on a weekly basis. There is no doubting the power of the assemblage. Principally it removes guesswork, randomness and hunch and replaces them with facts and mathematics! The information must help the reader find winners or at least give them every opportunity of doing so! Failing that we hope it entertains and adds to their enjoyment of the festival by being better informed.

CHELTENHAM RACECOURSE TEMPLATE

FAVOURITES
NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)       HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS)

Hurdle:   52-119 for 44% (+5.26)    17-104  for 16% (-38.63)
Chase:    55-131 for 42% (-7.90)    21-125  for 17% (-35.92)
NHF:       7-28  for 25% (-4.00)     0-0    for  - 
Total:   114-278 for 41% (-6.63)    38-229  for 17% (-74.54)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Cheltenham for 2017/18
Nicky Henderson: 14 wins from 71 for 20% (-14.46)
Gordon Elliott:   9 wins from 40 for 23% (+56.72)
Colin Tizzard:    9 wins from 61 for 15%  (-1.79)
W P Mullins:      7 wins from 63 for 11% (+11.40)
N Twiston-Davies: 7 wins from 63 for 11%  (+1.45)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Cheltenham for 2017/18
Barry Geraghty: 9 wins from 43 for 21%  (-8.09)
Davy Russell:   5 wins from 27 for 19% (+11.50)
Harry Skelton:  5 wins from 33 for 15% (-11.66)
Noel Fehily:    5 wins from 41 for 12%  (-7.00)
Paddy Brennan:  5 wins from 42 for 12%  (-2.00) 

TOP TRAINERS at Cheltenham (past 10 years)
 1 W P Mullins:     49 from 404 for 12%     18%
 2 N Henderson:     29 from 366 for  8%     31% 
 3 P Nicholls:      23 from 297 for  8%     25%
 4 G Elliott:       22 from 136 for 16%     17%
 5 D Pipe:          12 from 205 for  6%     11%   
 6 J O'Neill:       11 from 138 for  8%      7%
 7 N Twiston-Davies: 9 from 149 for  6%     17%
 8 P Hobbs:          8 from 163 for  5%     13%
 9 C Tizzard:        7 from 101 for  7%     12%
10 Mrs J Harrington: 5 from  44 for 11%      8%
11 H De Bromhead:    5 from  68 for  7%     12%
12 A King:           5 from 178 for  3%     10%

Percentages on right hand side for UK or IRE 2019

TOP JOCKEYS at Cheltenham (past 10 seasons)
 1 R Walsh:         41 wins from 177 for 23%
 2 B Geraghty:      23 wins from 169 for 14%
 3 D Russell:       18 wins from 118 for 15%
 4 R Johnson:       10 wins from 136 for  7%
 5 T Scudamore:      9 wins from 129 for  7%
 6 B Cooper:         8 wins from  85 for  9%
 7 P Townend:        8 wins from 119 for  7%
 8 J Codd:           7 wins from  27 for 26%
 9 N de Boinville:   7 wins from  47 for 15%
10 S Twiston-Davies: 7 wins from 121 for  6%
11 J Kennedy:        5 wins from  22 for 23%
12 N Fehily:         5 wins from 118 for  4% 

The Racing Horse offers collated trends and news on ALL 28 races plus lots of other pertinent information giving members everything they need to make a profit!

This will be our HOME PAGE and post links to all races/other from here. 

Check these three links for some interesting facts/numbers:

2019 Cheltenham Festival - Trainers

2019Cheltenham Festival - Jockeys

Importance of Cheltenham Form and Interesting Numbers!

Tuesday 12 March 2019 (Day One)

1.30: Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

2.10: Arkle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1)

2.50: Festival Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

3.30: Champion Hurdle (Grade 1)

4.10: OLBG Mares’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

4.50: Novices’ Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

5.30: National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Chase (Grade 2)

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Wednesday 13 March 2019 (Day Two)

1.30: Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

2.10: RSA Novices' Chase (Grade 1)

2.50: Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)

3.30: Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1)

4.10: Cross Country Chase (Class 2)

4.50: Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)

5.30: Champion Bumper (Grade 1)

 

Thursday 14 March 2019 (Day Three)

1.30: JLT Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)

2.10: Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)

2.50: Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)

3.30: Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1)

4.10: Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

4.50: Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)

5.30: Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase (Class 2)

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Friday 15 March 2019 (Day Four)

1.30: Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1).

2.10: County Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)

2.50: Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1)

3.30: Cheltenham Gold Cup (Grade 1)

4.10: The St. James’s Place Foxhunter Steeple Chase Challenge Cup (Class 2)

4.50: Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

5.30: Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Class 2)

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We will continually update the 33 pieces of information above as it becomes available. The Racecourse Templates will be updated after each day in readiness for the next. On the day before racing we will produce TOOF (trainer out of form) as well as our best bets and information. We have a great record at Cheltenham and once again our aim is to nominate in every race and bank a profit at 6pm on Friday.

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Here is our very LATEST INFORMATION!

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

 Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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