Pacafi (18 April 2019)

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SIR RON PRIESTLEY 5.10 Ripon at 8/11

Pulse 1 And Pulse 2 Novice Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Class 5) 1m4f

Pedigree: 70,000gns Y; second foal; dam Listed-placed 1m 2yo winner (stayed 1m2f; RPR 104), closely related to 1m/1m2f winner Standing Rock out of 1m winner, is granddaughter of 1m2f winner

THE RACING HORSE COMPOSITE

Trainer Form: 8-39 for 21%  (10)
RPR: 89                     (10)                                      
Optimum Ground: Good        (10)
Optimum Distance: 1m4f      (10)
Jockey: Joe Fanning         (10)

The Racing Horse Composite: (50)
  
Next best: Babbo's Boy 3/1

      Win Plc Run  RPR             Win Plc Run  RPR
Life   0   1   2    89    GF-F      0   1   1    88
2019   0   0   0     0    G         0   0   1    89
Dis    0   0   0     0    GS-HVY    0   0   0     0
Crs    0   0   0     0    6-15rns   0   1   2    89
Cl5    0   0   0     0    9.1-9.7   0   1   2    89

Promises to be a decent over middle-distances.

Sir Ron Priestley was second on debut at Ffos Las after not being the best away. He then came off the bridle some way out but he stuck at it and was closing right in on the favourite at the line. This was a fine debut in a Class 4 Novice. He was still green  and raced wide out with no cover when fourth at Goodwood on his second start last year. As on his debut he kept on having been off the bridle for some time. He is almost certain to make a decent 3yo over middle-distances.

Goodwood form franked in no uncertain terms!

Today the Pacafi runs in a Class 5 Novice after his Goodwood run in a Class 2 Maiden and a significant drop in grade. The winner of the Goodwood race Line Of Duty had already finished second twice previously and then rattled up a hat-trick with further wins at Chantilly (Group 3) and Churchill Downs (Group 1). The second Pablo Escobarr also won his next race, also at Goodwood in a Class 3 Maiden. The third Allmankind won very easily (6l) at Chelmsford on his next start also. Make no mistake the Goodwood form is top notch and it will be a shock if the Pacafi cannot win a Class 5 at Ripon.

Trainer form

Mark Johnston provided us with our last Pacafi and is in form. At Ripon he records 130-894 for 15% and today Joe Fanning rides and has a 36% strike rate on favourites. One imagines Fanning will try and be prominent or lead all the way.

Ripon probably has one of the biggest pace biases in the country as the round course particularly favours front runners, the only problem with this is because it is so well known now everyone wants to lead and a suicidal pace often ensues resulting in easy pickings for the hold up horses. However the fact still remains that if you can identify a single front runner in a race at Ripon bet big.

Of his rivals

Babbo's Boy is another almost certain to relish the extra distance having stayed on over a mile at Newbury in October, though did finish more than four lengths behind Global Express at Salisbury earlier. Arthur Pendragon never figured at Leicester but did cost 130,000gns so it will be disappointing if he’s not capable of better.

Timeform

SIR RON PRIESTLEY stepped up on debut when fourth in a strong maiden at Goodwood and is bred to make a better 3-y-o over middle distances. Babbo's Boy and Global Express should also do better now upped in trip this season and can fill the places.

Value

If Sir Ron Priestley is reasonably fit he must be a 4/9 shot given the Goodwood form line! It would be alarming if the 8/11 currently available drifts but we do not expect that to happen. His two market rivals are also coming back after a break so have no advantage on the fitness front.

Although we have advised 1pt win to our members, on a personal note we have backed the Pacafi to maximum stakes.

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COMING UP

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Charlie Appleby at Newmarket

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NEWMARKET CRAVEN MEETING (Home Page)

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NEWMARKET CRAVEN MEETING (Day 1)

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IRISH GRAND NATIONAL (Monday 22 April 2019)

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     The Racing Horse will update the results of our 2018 Pacafi's as soon as possible especially for those who use percentage of the bank staking which is our preferred option. Our results will show advised odds/best price guaranteed, result, stake, win or lose, balance and strike-rate. The results will be shown at 1pt win stakes. From 1st March 2018 we will use 1 to 2pt win staking when appropriate and most favourable including the use of stake-savers.

 7 Sir Ron Priestly  1.72  WIN  1.00  +0.72  +4.35  S/R  71%
 6 Alminoor          1.80  WIN  1.00  +0.80  +3.63  S/R  67%
 5 Magical (S)       2.37  WIN  1.20  +1.17  +2.83  S/R  60%
 4 Festival Of Ages  3.00  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +1.66  S/R  50%
 3 Pilaster          1.40  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +2.66  S/R  67%
 2 Private Secretary 1.91  WIN  1.00  +0.91  +3.66  S/R 100%
 1 Pentland Hills    3.75  WIN  1.00  +2.75  +2.75  S/R 100%

April SELECTIONS: 7  WIN: 5  LOSE: 2  S/R: 67%   PROFIT: +3.63pts

(113L111)      FINISHED First or Second (71.43%) 

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