Chester May Meeting (Day 2)

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The Racing Horse offer our members our RACECOURSE TEMPLATE, trends and betting advice for the Chester May Meeting. We look at four races on Day 2 and the going is expected to be good to soft after the recent rain.

1.50: Gateley PLC Handicap (Class 2) 5f16y ITV

11/11: Won from stall 7 or lower (100%)
11/11: Won over 5f before (100%)
11/11: Won between 2-6 times before (100%)
11/11: Returned 12/1 or shorter (100%)
..9/10: Came between stalls 1-4 (90%)
..9/11: Aged 4 or 5yo (82%)
..9/11: Came from stall 5 or lower (82%)
..8/11: Carried 8st 10lbs or less in weight (73%)
..8/11: Raced at Chester before (73%)
..8/11: Raced in the last 4 weeks (73%)
..8/11: Finished in the top 7 last time out (73%)
..7/11: Officially rated between 87-90 (64%)
..5/11: Finished 1st or 2nd last time out (45%)
..5/11: Winning favourites (45%)
..4/11: Returned a double-figure price (36%)
..2/11:Winners from stall 1 (18%)

A Momentofmadness won the race in 2018

Timeform

COPPER KNIGHT is only 3 lb above his last winning mark and should be spot on for this after an encouraging reappearance at Musselburgh last month. He can land the opener. Mokaatil and Growl head the list of dangers.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1 FOOL FOR YOU 8/1  2 MOKAATIL 7/1  3 COPPER KNIGHT 3/1 (2nd)

Fool For You was twice a winner (at up to 5.1f) last term and ended campaign with solid third in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f). Resumes off a very workable mark and from a great draw and must be in the firing line. The changing ground will find a couple out in this race so the 6/1 looks value!

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2.25: Homeserve Dee Stakes (Listed) 1m2f75y ITV

16/17: Not ran at Chester before (94%)
15/17: Yet to win over this trip before (88%)
14/17: Returned 8/1 or shorter (82%)
14/17: Favourites finished in the frame (82%)
14/17: Came from stall 3 or higher (82%)
11/17: Failed to win another race after taking this (65%)
10/17: Finished 1st or 2nd last time out (59%)
..9/17: Previously ran that season (53%)
..8/17: Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (47%)
..7/17: Won by the favourite (41%)
..7/17: Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (41%)
..6/17: Won their previous race (35%)
..0/17: Winners from stall 1 (0%)

Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 16 years

Timeform 

CIRCUS MAXIMUS can call upon in-frame efforts in Group company as a 2yo and is very much the type to flourish over middle distances this season, so this is a good starting point for him. He can record win number 8 in the race for Aidan O'Brien, probably at the chief expense of Fox Chairman, who has no fancy entries but looked something out of the ordinary at Newbury.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1 CIRCUS MAXIMUS 5/4 (WINNER)  2 FOX CHAIRMAN  10/3 (3rd) 3 MOWHAWK 7/1 (2nd)

Five of the last seven renewals have gone to a Ballydoyle runner and Circus Maximus looks to have leading claims ahead of stablemate and last year’s Royal Lodge winner Mohawk and Fox Chairman. The former was beaten only a length behind subsequent 2000 Guineas hero Magna Grecia in the Group 1 Futurity at Doncaster when last in action and the longer trip will suit Aidan O’Brien’s Derby entry.

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3.00: Deepbridge Capital Handicap (Class 2) 7f122y ITV

16/17: Not raced at Chester before (94%)
15/17: Returned 10/1 or shorter (88%)
14/17: Previously ran that season (82%)
13/17: Came between stalls 2-7 (76%)
11/17: Finished third or better last time out (65%)
10/17: Carried 9st 0lbs or less (59%)
10/17: Placed favourites (59%)
..6/17: Winning favourites (or joint) (35%)
..5/17: Ran at Newbury last time out (29%)
..5/17: Placed horses from stall 1 (29%)
..2/17: Trained by Mark Johnston (12%)
..2/17: Trained by Andrew Balding (12%)
..2/17: Winners from stall 1 (12%)

Timeform

KING OF TONGA was much improved when a close second at Beverley on his reappearance 2 weeks ago, and with the leading pair well clear of the rest, there's little reason to doubt the form. Spirit Warning and Oasis Prince have tricky draws to contend with, but both are progressive, so merit respect.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1 FORSETI  14/1  2 METATRON 11/1  3 LINCOLN PARK 6/1 (WINNER)

Forseti looks big at 14/1 and though will not be up with the pace early should find a good sit with David Probert riding. Andrew Balding told us: "The ground is a slight unknown but he is in good form." This race was hard to fathom so we have gone with two against the field at double-figure prices. Richard Kingscote was offered three rides and took the one on Metatron. Tricky race and one for small stakes!

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3.35: Boddles Diamond Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) 1m5f89y ITV


16/17: Returned 7/2 or shorter (94%)
13/17: Won over at least 1m4f before (76%)
12/17: Won by either a 4 or 5yo (71%)
12/17: Not win previous race (71%)
11/17: Previously ran that season (65%)
10/17: Finished in the top three last time out (59%)
..9/17: Won by the favourite (53%)
..8/17: Ran at Chester previously (47%)
..5/17: Ran in John Porter (Newbury) last time out (29%)
..4/17: Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (24%)
..4/17: Ridden by Ryan Moore (24%)
..3/17: Won by Michael Stoute (won 6 times in all) (18%)

Timeform

KEW GARDENS is expected to feature in all the top staying races this term, so he should be able so shrug off a penalty on this return provided the race doesn't get too tactical. Magic Circle, on ability, is a huge threat, but he returns with a bit to prove, so it might be that Morando gives the selection most to think about.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1 KEW GARDENS 11/10 (2nd)  2 MORANDO 4/1 (WINNER)

Kew Gardens races at the rear and Ryan Moore is not the best judge of pace around these type of tracks, but with just 5 rivals and requisite fitness should win. Morando to beat Magic Circle for second place.

Exacta paid £6.10 & CSF £5.51

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

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