Racecourse Template for Haydock (Saturday 25 May 2019)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse presents our RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Haydock on Saturday. We have already covered the TEMPLE STAKES on a separate page and nominated a Pacafi. Here we look at the Amix Silver Bowl Handicap Class 2 and the Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes Group 2. We had hoped to find a big price winner for our members but...

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HAYDOCK FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo:    42-107 for 39% (-15.38)   4-20   for 20%  (-6.75)
3yo:    27-64  for 42% (-10.18)   60-195 for 31% (-32.66)
4yo+:   18-50  for 36%  (+0.54)   63-210 for 30%  (-9.01)
Total:  87-221 for 39% (-25.02)  127-425 for 30% (-48.42)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at HAYDOCK for 2018
Tom Dascombe:  16 wins from 96 for 17% (+88.70)
Mark Johnston: 11 wins from 59 for 19%  (+2.03)
David O'Meara:  7 wins from 48 for 15%  (+6.58)
Hugo Palmer:    6 wins from 19 for 32% (+78.60)
Michael Dods:   6 wins from 20 for 30% (+29.75)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at HAYDOCK for 2018
Richard Kingscote: 16 wins from 104 for 15% (-17.04)
Daniel Tudhope:     8 wins from  46 for 17% (-20.93)
Jim Crowley:        6 wins from  20 for 30%  (+7.08) 
Franny Norton:      6 wins from  36 for 17%  (-2.00)
James Doyle:        5 wins from  18 for 28%  (-2.74)

2.50: Amix Silver Bowl Handicap (Class 2) 1m37y

16/16: Won between 1-3 times before (100%)
15/16: Returned 15/2 or shorter (94%)
15/16: Came from the top 3 in the betting (94%)
15/16: Raced within the last 4 weeks (94%)
14/16: Won over 7f or 1m before (88%)
13/16: Winning distance – 2 lengths or less (81%)
13/16: Placed last time out (81%)
12/16: Carried 9st 1lbs or less (75%)
10/16: Favourites that finished in the top 4 (63%)
10/16: Drawn in stall 8 or lower (63%)
..6/16: Won last time out (38%)
..5/16: Winning favourites (31%)
....2/9: Ridden by David Probert (22%)
..3/16: Ran at Newmarket last time out (19%)
..3/16: Trained by Richard Fahey (19%)
..2/16: Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 6) (13%)

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2 

Handicaps for 3yos show 60-195 for 31% (-32.66)

Michael Appleby (Loch Ness Monster) not considered. Trainer 1-45 for 2% for May

Ivan Furtado (Munhamek) not considered. Trainer 1-29 for 3% for May

Paul Cole (Dukes Of Hazzard) not considered. Trainer 0-15 for 0% for May

27%: William Haggas at Haydock since 2015

23%: William Haggas running 7f and up to 10f

Timeform

Another strong-looking renewal of this famous handicap and OASIS PRINCE can give Mark Johnston another win. He looked a Group horse in the making when scoring on his handicap debut over C&D in gutsy fashion recently and will go on progressing. Awe comes next on the shortlist after his fine return at Ascot behind a smart prospect. Masaru and Munhamek are also key players.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1 Awe 11/2 (Ladbrokes, William Hill & Boylesports 18.40)  2 Oasis Prince 6/1 (Bet365, Betfair & Paddy Power)  3 Beatboxer 22/1 (Coral & BetVictor)  4 Reggae Runner 12/1 (general) 

Awe won at Redcar over 7f in October and improved again when second to Royal Ascot-bound Motafaawit on return/handicap debut at Ascot, still looking green but sticking to task. Absolutely bound to progress further.

***

3.25: Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) 6f

15/15: Returned 8/1 or shorter (100%)
14/15: Raced in the last 7 weeks (93%)
14/15: Won over 6f before (93%)
13/15: Won between 1-3 times before (87%)
13/15: Finished in the top 3 last time out (87%)
12/15: Returned 5/1 or shorter (80%)
11/15: From stall 5 or higher (73%)
..8/15: Winning favourites (53%)
..6/15: Came from stall 8 or 9 (40%)
..3/15: Raced at Newbury last time out (20%)
..2/10: Won by trainer William Haggas (20%)
..2/15: Raced at York last time (13%)
..2/15: Trained by William Haggas (13%)
..2/15: Ridden by Paul Hanagan (13%)

The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Timeform

CALYX is a cut above these rivals and shouldn't have any issue maintaining his unbeaten record before a likely tilt at the Commonwealth Cup next month. Hello Youmzain should be the one to chase him home, followed by True Mason.

The Racing Horse Verdict

1 Calyx 1/4 (Unibet) 

Unbeaten Kingman colt who looked high class when landing the Coventry last year and, despite a set-back, burst clear in the Pavilion Stakes on his belated return. This is no more than a formality.

***

  Today's Pacafi: click here

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