2018 Royal Ascot Review

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse is not a site that shouts BOOM every time we have a 6/4 winner, in fact the second we have banked a winner we are already thinking about our next bet. The next bet is always the most important bet! But, it is fair to say we had a great 2018 Royal Ascot and invite our newer members to see what we actually said before the racing. Apologies for the poor presentation and commentary, we are a self-confessed technophobe and our lack of computer skills grin through most of what we do, but we take this opportunity to air our content and show the quality of our information:

2018 ROYAL ASCOT (Day 1)

2018 ROYAL ASCOT (Day 2)

2018 ROYAL ASCOT (Day 3)

2018 ROYAL ASCOT (Day 4)

2018 ROYAL ASCOT (Day 5)

Our original intention was to look at each race and find horses that were not necessarily favourites but those who promised to be competitive/go close to winning. We only went for favoured horses when their chances were obvious, this was reflected in our nominations.

Here are the horses pinpointed by us way in advance of racing where the prices recorded were neither best nor Betfair/Exchange prices:

5/2 CALYX, 8/1 BLUE POINT, 12/1 MONARCH GLEN, 10/3 KEW GARDENS, 11/2 POETS WORD, 16/1 SETTLE FOR BAY, 6/1 HUNTING HORN, 9/2 MAGIC WAND, 2/1 STRADIVARIUS, 16/1 OSTILLO, 5/1 OLD PERSIAN, 7/2 ALPHA CENTAURI, 5/1 DASH OF SPICE, 12/1 ARTHUR KITT, 8/13 CRYSTAL OCEAN, 14/1 SOLDIERS CALL and 9/2 MERCHANT NAVY

The profits could easily have been improved massively with just a little housekeeping! Our first choice winners included 12/1 MONARCH GLEN, 16/1 SETTLE FOR BAY, 5/1 OLD PERSIAN, 7/2 ALPHA CENTAURI and 8/13 CRYSTAL OCEAN. Had our members backed every first choice selection blind they would have made a profit of +12pts to the above prices.

We found 2 Tricasts and Trifectas, they paid £69.15 & £52.40, £24.50 & £39.60 and four Exactas and CSF's. Our best/biggest was Soldiers Call and Sabre, which paid an Exacta of £270.60 and the CSF £146.63.

The above only show the winners, we had big priced placed runners as well proving our analysis of racing is based on a sound rationale! Furthermore, Occupy should have won for us at 33/1 but was murdered and we would have been close to smashing a huge Tricast and Trifecta which would have ran into thousands. Since then we have incorporated our Racecourse Template and this has advanced our processes further.

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

 Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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