2019 Royal Ascot Review

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The Racing Horse reviewed 2018 Royal Ascot before posting our analysis of 2019. Our conclusions substantiated our success and the intention was to repeat the success this year - so did we manage it?

The weather and the consequential ground conditions made life very difficult especially within the first 3 days. After 15 races just 1 favourite had won (7%) and at the end of Day 3, only 2 winning favourites obliged from the 18 races (11%). As the ground dried out/improved the classier/better horses came to the fore, and the final 2 days showed 6 winning favourites from 12 races (50%). In total there were 8 winning favourites from the 30 races (27%) so less than the course five-year national average which stands at around 31.32% These figures represent the context in which we will measure our performance this year.

This year we highlighted the winning chances of 16 horses which included: 2/1 BLUE POINT, 33/1 THE GRAND VISIR, 7/1 ADDEYBB, 9/2 CRYSTAL OCEAN, 10/1 SOUTHERN HILLS, 9/1 SANGARIUS, 8/1 STAR CHARTER, 5/4 STRADIVARIUS, 9/2 DAAHYEH, 6/4 JAPAN, 8/1 ADVERTISE, 11/2 BAGHDAD, 7/2 PINATUBO, 4/1 DEFOE, 9/4 BLUE POINT and 9/2 CLEONTE.

Our first choice winners included: 33/1 THE GRAND VISIR, 5/4 STRADIVARIUS, 9/2 DAAHYEH, 6/4 JAPAN, 4/1 DEFOE, 9/4 BLUE POINT and 9/2 CLEONTE. Had members backed every first choice selection blind they would have made a profit of +29pts to the above prices.  So, if our members placed £10 on each they would have banked £290 and had an enjoyable time in doing so. These figures compare favourably with last year.

Last year we highlighted the winning chances of 17 horses which included: 5/2 CALYX, 8/1 BLUE POINT, 12/1 MONARCH GLEN, 10/3 KEW GARDENS, 11/2 POETS WORD, 16/1 SETTLE FOR BAY, 6/1 HUNTING HORN, 9/2 MAGIC WAND, 2/1 STRADIVARIUS, 16/1 OSTILLO, 5/1 OLD PERSIAN, 7/2 ALPHA CENTAURI, 5/1 DASH OF SPICE, 12/1 ARTHUR KITT, 8/13 CRYSTAL OCEAN, 14/1 SOLDIERS CALL and 9/2 MERCHANT NAVY.

Our first choice winners included: 12/1 MONARCH GLEN, 16/1 SETTLE FOR BAY, 5/1 OLD PERSIAN, 7/2 ALPHA CENTAURI and 8/13 CRYSTAL OCEAN. Had our members backed every first choice selection blind they would have made a profit of +12pts to the above prices (better prices were easily available and our personal profit exceeded +19pts.

If perming our advice this year we found 3 Tricasts & Trifectas, one of which paid a huge £1,387.52 & £2,6222.70. Another paid £131.01 & £226.20, the third best/biggest paid £47.91 & £69.30. There were 9 winning Exactas & CSFs with the best/biggest £123.00 & £88.31, whilst another paid £77.90 & £60.90. These numbers cannot be fluked and proves our racecourse template, racing trends and betting advice work!

Last year we found 2 winning Tricasts & Trifectas, they paid £69.15 & £52.40, £24.50 & £39.60 and four winning Exactas and CSF's. Our best/biggest was Soldiers Call and Sabre, which paid an Exacta of £270.60 & CSF £146.63.

To view some of our most pertinent information: 

2019 ROYAL ASCOT HOMEPAGE

ASCOT HANDICAP STAKES (Class 2) 2m 4f

LATEST NEWS

2018 ROYAL ASCOT REVIEW

Context, mathematics and value are everything in sports betting and we incorporate these sentiments into our no risk, incremental gains mindset, we commend our assemblage to our members.

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  Today's Pacafi: click here

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a maths-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a maths-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

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