Kempton Racecourse Template (7 August 2019)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Kempton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                        Handicap
2yo:    128-288  for 44% (-10.25)   31-95    for 33%  (-7.10)
3yo:    105-230  for 46%  (-8.92)   162-494  for 33% (-29.99)
4yo+:    40-83   for 48%  (+9.94)   243-795  for 31% (-38.15)
Total:  273-601  for 45% (-10.22)   436-1384 for 32% (-75.23)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for current year
Archie Watson: 11 wins from 48 for 23%  (+3.35)
Andrew Balding: 8 wins from 30 for 27% (+23.25)
John Gosden:    7 wins from 20 for 35%  (-0.37)
Roger Varian:   7 wins from 28 for 25% (+10.86)
Tony Carroll:   6 wins from 69 for  9% (-37.62)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for current year
Oisin Murphy:   15 wins from  70 for 21%  (-4.13)
Adam Kirby:     14 wins from  94 for 15% (-41.79)
David Probert:   9 wins from 101 for  9% (-53.00)
Edward Greatrex: 8 wins from  27 for 30% (+16.72)
Joe Fanning:     7 wins from  24 for 29% (+15.72)

  Today's Pacafi: click here

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a math-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a math-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

 Disclaimer
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