Chelmsford Racecourse Template (8 October 2019)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Chelmsford is a great racecourse for WINNING favourites in non-handicaps. From nearly 500 races the 2yo & 3yo favourites win almost half the time for a level stake loss of just £1.34 to SP. There are 5 non-handicap races tomorrow and they must be of interest.

Chelmsford FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                     Handicap
2yo:   105-218 for 48% (+18.54)   39-103  for 38%   (+5.04)
3yo:   130-263 for 49% (-19.88)  152-513  for 30%  (-94.35)
4yo+:   34-75  for 45%  (-0.30)  306-902  for 34%  (-53.64)
Total: 269-556 for 48%  (-1.64)  497-1518 for 33% (-142.95)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Chelmsford for current year
John Gosden      17 wins from  49 for 35%  (-1.73)
Michael Appleby: 15 wins from 111 for 14% (-35.02)
James Tate:      14 wins from  40 for 35% (+17.15)
Mark Johnston:   13 wins from  78 for 17% (-38.18)
Stuart Williams: 11 wins from  60 for 18%  (+8.00)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Chelmsford for current year
Oisin Murphy:   22 wins from 81 for 27% (+17.17)
PJ McDonald:    16 wins from 61 for 26% (+35.40)
Adam Kirby:     12 wins from 67 for 18% (-10.71)
Nicky Mackay:   10 wins from 32 for 31% (+19.57)
David Egan:      9 wins from 41 for 22% (+26.50)

JOHN GOSDEN

Top trainer at the course this year is John Gosden and he is currently 0-9 including the defeat of Enable and two other hot favourites. He runs Buwardy 5.40 at 11/1 (2nd) and To The Moon 7.10 at 9/4 (WINNER). We notice he sends his 120,000gns filly Maximum Effect to Kempton tomorrow and his only runner of the day (WINNER at 5/2)

OISIN MURPHY

Top jockey is Oisin Murphy who is currently 0-10 including four losing favourites, but he has taken the day off and only has 2 rides at Nottingham tomorrow before going to Kempton to ride 5 more. One of those at Nottingham is Damage Control a 2yo colt for Andrew Balding and that looks an interesting booking (2nd at 4/1)

Other information with more than a little relevance:

4.40
39%: Harry Bentley's strike rate on favourites (DRAGON COMMAND - WINNER at 13/8)
5.10
Draw Bias : Favours Low
23%: Michael Stoute's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (AREEHAA - NON RUNNER)
24%: James Doyle's strike rate at course (VINTAGE POLLY)
38%: James Doyle's strike rate on favourites (VINTAGE POLLY)
5.40
23%: Michael Stoute's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (PRINCE IMPERIAL - WINNER 5/1 & CHAIRMAN POWER)
26%: John Gosden's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (BUWARDY 2nd at 11/1)
88: Number of GALILEO's progeny won flat debut (Sires CHAIRMAN POWER)
6.10
23%: Jim Crowley's strike rate at course (HABUB - WINNER at 5/4)
6.40
23%: Michael Stoute's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (JEWELLER - WINNER at 11/8)
23%: Jim Crowley's strike rate at course (JEWELLER - WINNER at 11/8)
23%: Mark Prescott strike rate with horses running over 10f+ (VOLCANIQUE - 2nd at 9/2)
7.10
Draw Bias : Favours Low
£28.47: Peter Charalambous's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (EXMOOR BEAST - 2nd at 14/1)
39%: Robert Havlin's strike rate on favourites (TO THE MOON - WINNER at 6/5)
21%: David Lanigan's strike rate running over 10f+ (MALIKA I JAHAN)
7.40
Draw Bias : Favours Low
£33.50: Adam West's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (ROCKSETTE)
£34.46: Ralph Beckett's profit to £1 with horses running in first time headgear (MRS IVY)
16%: Ralph Beckett's strike rate with handicap debutants (MRS IVY)
8.10
Draw Bias : Favours Low
£69.62: Michael Blake's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (MERDON CASTLE - NON RUNNER)
21%: Ian Williams's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (HEATHERDOWN)
34%: Daniel Tudhope's strike rate on favourites (POETIC LEGACY)

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