Kempton Racecourse Template (28 October 2019)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers a RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Kempton Monday 28 October 2019. The importance and relevance of them must not be underestimated.

Kempton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                        Handicap
2yo:    142-317 for 45% (-11.11)   35-111   for 32% (-10.93)
3yo:    112-246 for 46% (-13.44)   178-546  for 33% (-37.34)
4yo+:    41-86  for 48%  (+9.32)   255-828  for 31% (-29.50)
Total:  295-649 for 45% (-15.23)   468-1485 for 32% (-77.78)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for current year
John Gosden:    17 wins from  46 for 37%  (+9.82)
Archie Watson:  17 wins from  72 for 24%  (-2.76)
Roger Varian:   14 wins from  56 for 25% (+13.14)
Andrew Balding: 14 wins from  69 for 20% (+35.94)
Richard Hannon: 13 wins from 107 for 12% (-20.69)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for current year
Oisin Murphy:   29 wins from 137 for 21% (-14.77)
Adam Kirby:     20 wins from 119 for 17% (-29.70)
Jim Crowley:    16 wins from  52 for 31%  (+6.64)
Hollie Doyle	15 wins from 102 for 15% (-19.84)
Luke Morris:    12 wins from 139 for  9% (-62.34)

 Our template show the 4yo favourites in non-handicaps have best strike rates at Kempton recording 41-86 for 48% (+9.32). Favourites in non-handicaps over the past 5 years generally score 295-649 for 45% (-15.23) and a starting point for those betting thought processes.

Top trainer at the course is John Gosden and he has 3 entered with 4.55 Shimmering, 6.00 Nova Roma and 6.30 Cemhaan. Oisin Murphy has 7 rides from the 8 races. There are 3 non-handicap races at the course tomorrow and it will be interesting to note if Gosden or Murphy have a favourite running for them in that category. Longest traveller to the course is Keith Dalgleish who travels 392 miles with Soldiers Minute in the 7.30.


4.25
£44.84: Malcolm Saunders profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (SECRETFACT)
3%: Michael Wigham strike rate 1-29 since June (FOXY FOREVER)
0%: Jim Boyle strike rate 0-30 since August (SHINING)
0%: Stuart Kittow strike rate 0-35 since July (YOUKAN)
Draw bias favours low
TRH BEST BET: MANSHOOD 7/1
4.55
28%: John Gosden strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (SHIMMERING)
22%: Roger Varian strike rate a course since start of 2015 season (JAARIYAH)
73: SHAMARDAL (USA)'s progeny won on flat debut (Sires JAARIYAH)
TRH BEST BET: SHIMMERING 8/1 (3rd)
5.30
£94.50: Adam West profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (LORETTA LASS)
34%: Oisin Murphy strike rate on favourites (BRYN DU)
5%: Mohamed Moubarak strike rate 1-22 since August (KUWAITY)
1%: Adam West strike rate 1-100 since June (LORETTA LASS)
TRH BEST BET: BRYN DU 9/4
6.00
22%: Saeed bin Suroor strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (BACK FROM DUBAI)
28%: John Gosden strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (NOVA ROMA)
62: EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS)'s progeny won on flat debut (BACK FROM DUBAI)
3%: Michael Attwater strike rate 1-39 (SEA BRIGHT)
0%: David Flood 0-15 since July (TOOLMAKER)
0%: Karen George 0-17 since May 2018 (GINGER BOX)
Draw bias against high
TRH BEST BET: NOVA ROMA 4/1
6.30
28%: John Gosden strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (CEMHAAN)
33%: Charlie Appleby strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (YA HAYATI)
100: KODIAC's progeny won on flat debut (ITSALLABOUTLUCK)
1%: Roger Ingram strike rate 1-103 since February 2018 (MAZEKINE)
0%: David Flood 0-15 since July (MAJESTYK FIRE)
Draw bias against high
TRH BEST BET: YA HAYATI 3/1 WINNER
7.00
£88.90: Simon Crisford profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (EDEN GARDENS)
22%: Saeed bin Suroor strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (PIECE OF HISTORY)
£49.55: Simon Crisford profit to £1 with horses running after break (EDEN GARDENS)
0%: David Weston strike rate 0-2 in last 5 years (EASY TIGER)
0%: Simon Dow strike rate 0-25 since August (CORAZON ESPINADO)
0%: Mick Channon strike rate 0-45 last 19 days(CHAIRMANOFTHEBOARD)
0%: Mick Channon strike rate 0-45 last 19 days(I'LLETYOUGONOW)
Draw bias aginst high
TRH BEST BET: PIECE OF HISTORY 15/8 WINNER
7.30
22%: Andrea Atzeni strike rate at course (POLYBIUS)
37%: Andrea Atzeni's strike rate on favourites (POLYBIUS)
0%: John O'Shea strike rate 0-20 since August (MAJOR VALENTINE)
0%: Stuart Kittow strike rate 0-35 since July (BEYOND EQUAL)
Draw bias against high
TRH BEST BET: POLYBIUS 3/1 or SOLDIER'S MINUTE 7/2 WINNER
8.00
3%: Peter Hedger strike rate 1-35 since February (TRALEE HILLS)
0%: Charlie Hills 0-22 in last 28 days (STAGEHAND)
Draw bias against high
TRH BEST BET: KYLLACHY GALA 5/1 WINNER

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