Kempton Racecourse Template (30 October 2019)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers a RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Kempton Wednesday 30 October 2019. The importance and relevance of them must not be underestimated.

The going is standard to slow.

Kempton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                       Handicap
2yo:    143-320 for 45% (-12.11)   35-112   for 31% (-11.93)
3yo:    112-246 for 46% (-13.44)   178-547  for 33% (-38.34)
4yo+:    41-86  for 48%  (+9.32)   257-831  for 31% (-27.50)
Total:  296-652 for 45% (-16.23)   470-1490 for 32% (-77.78)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for current year
John Gosden:    17 wins from  49 for 35%  (+6.82)
Archie Watson:  17 wins from  72 for 24%  (-2.76)
Roger Varian:   15 wins from  58 for 26% (+19.14)
Andrew Balding: 14 wins from  71 for 20% (+33.94)
Richard Hannon: 13 wins from 112 for 12% (-25.69)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for current year
Oisin Murphy:   30 wins from 144 for 21% (-19.15)
Adam Kirby:     20 wins from 119 for 17% (-29.70)
Jim Crowley:    16 wins from  55 for 29%  (+3.64)
Hollie Doyle	15 wins from 104 for 14% (-21.84)
Luke Morris:    12 wins from 143 for  8% (-66.34)

 Our template show the 4yo favourites in non-handicaps have best strike rates at Kempton recording 41-86 for 48% (+9.32). Favourites in non-handicaps over the past 5 years generally score 296-652 for 45% (-16.23) and a starting point for those betting thought processes.

Top trainer at the course is John Gosden and he runs El Misk 7.40 at 13/8 (Bet365).

Top jockey is Oisin Murphy has three rides on Qinwan 5.10, Berkshire Philly 5.40 and Entertaining 6.10.

Keith Dalgleish sent one horse (Soldier's Minute) 392 miles to Kempton on Monday and his charge was backed from 9/2 to 11/8 and won. Tomorrow he sends Youneverletmedown 5.40 at 6/1.

The Racing Horse Advice on Monday


4.40
46%: 3yo favourite (FAVINON) in non-handicap (SWISS PRIDE)
The pace forecast is weak
TRH: SWISS PRIDE 11/8 WINNER
5.10
22%: Archie Watson's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (MITTY'S SMILE)
23%: Archie Watson's strike rate with sprinters (MITTY'S SMILE)
Draw bias against high
TRH: MITTY'S SMILE 8/1 WINNER
5.40
£61.00: Jonathan Portman's profit to £1 level stake with debutants (LADY MAGDA)
Draw bias against high
TRH: YOUNEVERLETMEDOWN 6/1
6.10
Draw bias against high
TRH: ROMAN SPINNER 9/2
6.40
23%: Saeed bin Suroor's strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (ICE CAVE)
£58.96:  Saeed bin Suroor's profit to £1 with horses running after break (ICE CAVE)
100: KODIAC's progeny won on flat debut (Sires MONTYS INN)
TRH: MONTYS INN 11/2
7.10
£40.75: Gary Moore's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (AGE OF WISDOM)
TRH: ASTROMACHIA 13/8 WINNER
7.40
£34.50: Joseph Patrick O'Brien's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (GRANDMASTER FLASH)
28%: John Gosden strike rate at course since start of 2015 season (EL MISK)
25%: John Gosden strike rate running over 10f+ (EL MISK)
TRH: EL MISK 13/8 WINNER
8.10
15%: Roger Charlton strike rate with handicap debutants (FIELDS OF DREAMS)
Draw bias against high
TRH: FIELD OF DREAMS 11/2

***

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