The Racing Horse takes a comprehensive look at the biggest race in Wales - 2019 CORAL WELSH GRAND NATIONAL. It is the highlight over the festive period and returns to Chepstow Racecourse on Friday 27th December 2019.
The prerequisite to winning this race means the winner will need to be heavily laden with stamina and the racing trends support this view! It is always hard work racing over the 3m5½f distance with 20 runners jumping 22 fences on ground that is usually tacky to heavy!
The race has a habit of throwing up some real stars of the British jumping scene, most recently the 2016 winner Native River and since then jockey James Bowen, whose career has gone from strength to strength in the last 12 months who is now forging a great relationship with trainer Nicky Henderson.
CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE
FAVOURITES NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) Hurdle: 57-120 for 48% (+0.72) 39-117 for 33% (+2.36) Chase: 8-29 for 28% (-12.13) 42-139 for 30% (-1.43) NHF: 15-45 for 33% (-11.05) 0-0 for - Total: 80-194 for 41% (-22.46) 81-256 for 32% (+0.93) TOP TRAINERS at Chepstow for 2018/19 Paul Nicholls: 11 wins from 40 for 28% (+1.35) Philip Hobbs: 10 wins from 48 for 21% (+13.50) Colin Tizzard: 6 wins from 43 for 14% (-0.12) Evan Williams: 6 wins from 45 for 13% (+42.87) David Pipe: 4 wins from 22 for 18% (-3.50) TOP JOCKEYS at Chepstow for 2018/19 Richard Johnson: 10 wins from 46 for 22% (+14.00) Harry Cobden: 9 wins from 41 for 22% (+8.44) Adam Wedge: 5 wins from 42 for 12% (+42.00) Jonjo O'Neill: 4 wins from 15 for 27% (+1.06) S Twiston-Davies: 3 wins from 17 for 18% (-1.58)
On the trends issue we note 17 of the last 17 raced within the last 7 weeks and won over fences at least 3m before and 15 of the last 17 were aged 9yo or younger. This must be the best place to start if looking for the winner.
This is a first draft and we will take a close look at the race in Part 2 where we will arm the reader with absolutely everything they need to enjoy the race...
2019 Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3).
17/17: Won between 1-5 chase races before (100%)
17/17: Raced within the last 7 weeks (100%)
17/17: Won over at least 3m before (fences) (100%)
15/17: Aged 9yo or younger (88%)
15/17: Placed in the top 4 last time out (88%)
13/17: Carried 11st 0lbs or less (76%)
13/17: Aged 8 or younger (76%)
11/17: Carried 10st 8lbs or less (65%)
11/17: Won just 2 or 3 times before over fences (65%)
11/17: Returned 10/1 or shorter (65%)
10/17: Irish bred (59%)
..8/17: Won over fences at Chepstow before (47%)
..6/17: Unplaced favourites (35%)
..6/17: Won last time out (35%)
..6/17: French bred (35%)
..6/17: Ran in the Welsh National before (35%)
..4/17: Ran at Chepstow last time out (24%)
..3/17: Winning favourites (18%)
..2/17: Trained by Jonjo O’Neill (12%)
..2/17: Trained by Paul Nicholls (12%)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1
2018: ELEGANT ESCAPE (3/1f)
2017: RAZ DE MAREE (16/1)
2016: NATIVE RIVER (11/4f)
2015: MOUNTAINOUS (9/1)
2014: EMPEROR’S CHOICE (9/1)
2013: MOUNTAINOUS (20/1)
2012: MONBEG DUDE (10/1)
2011: LE BEAU BAI (10/1)
2010: SYNCHRONISED (5/1)
2009: DREAM ALLIANCE (20/1)
2008: NOTRE PERE (16/1)
2007: MIKO de BEAUCHENE(13/2)
2006: HALCON GENELARDAIS (7/1)
2005: L’AVENTURE (14/1)
2004: SILVER BIRCH (10/3f)
2003: BINDAREE (10/1)
2002: MINI SENSATION (8/1)
There will be plenty of entertainment throughout the day for the entire family as well as the thrilling racing. Chepstow Racecourse welcome back international opera superstars Sir Bryn Terfel and Rebecca Evans, who will be singing the National Anthem as the runners circle at the start for the big race.
Tickets for this two enclosure meeting are now on sale and are £27pp for our Grandstand & Paddock enclosure and £32pp for our Premier enclosure, these prices are in advance and on the day prices will be an additional £5 respectively. They also have a Pie & Pint package available in advance to get your day off to a great start, for just £36pp you will get your Grandstand & Paddock admission ticket, a top quality pie, drink (beer, glass of wine or soft drink) and a racecard. For every General Admission Ticket purchased in advance only for this years Coral Welsh National, we will be offering a complimentary return ticket to our fixture on Monday 2nd March 2020.
CHEPSTOW are still offering discounts for advance bookings.
Telephone: 01291 622 260 and Fax: 01291 627 061
Address: Chepstow Racecourse, Chepstow, Monmouthshire, NP16 BE
There is a shuttle bus running from both Chepstow (£1 each way) and Newport (£5 return) train stations, Gates open at 10am for this meeting.
PARKING IS FREE
We look forward to seeing you there. We will post our selections for the day for all the races along with general betting advice on Wednesday 26th December 2019 before 6pm.
Today's Pacafi: click here
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