Unibet Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

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2.40: Unibet Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed) 2m5f ITV4

18/18: Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before (100%)
16/18: Aged 7yo or younger (89%)
16/18: Raced within the last 7 weeks (89%)
33/38: Winners aged 7yo or younger (87%)
14/18: Returned 10/1 or shorter (78%)
14/18: Won exactly 2 times over hurdles before (78%)
13/18: Never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before (72%)
13/18: Winning distance 3 lengths or less (72%)
13/18: Winners ran in season’s Cheltenham Festival (0 winners) (72%)
12/18: Irish (7) or French (5) bred (67%)
12/18: Came from the top 3 in the betting (67%)
11/18: Carried 10st 11lbs or less (61%)
11/18: Aged 6yo (61%)
..9/18: Placed favourites (50%)
..8/18: Won last time out (44%)
..6/18: Ran at Kempton before (5 won) (33%)
..5/18: Winning favourites (28%)
..3/18: Trained by Nick Williams (17%)
..3/18: Trained by Paul Nicholls (17%)
..3/18: Trained by Nicky Henderson (17%)

Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Favourites in handicaps: 23-71 for 32% (+1.16)
Top Trainer this season: Nicky Henderson 11-36 for 31% (+13.07)
Tim Vaughan 0-18 last 14 days (TIGHT CALL - see Timeform)

TOP TRAINERS at KEMPTON
Nicky Henderson: 69-259 for 27%
Paul Nicholls:   48-229 for 21%
Alan King:       26-196 for 13%
Harry Fry:       16-78  for 21%
Colin Tizzard:   14-86  for 16%

Timeform

This looks wide open and it may pay to side with one at the foot of the weights in the shape of TIGHT CALL. Tim Vaughan's charge had some solid form to his name last term and, having shaped as though he would come forward for his Market Rasen return in October (strong form) he could well be the answer. Notre Pari is progressing well and rates next best, ahead of Burrows Edge and Debestyman.

Our top 4 trends aggregated at 83-92 for 90.22% leaving us with 6 runners to consider. They are Notre Pari 3/1, Burrows Edge 13/2, Northofthewall 7/1, Echiquier 18/1, Debestyman 16/1 and Vinnie Dev 28/1. £1 win on each?

The Racing Horse Verdict

1st: BURROWS EDGE 13/2 (WINNER)  2nd: Notre Pari 3/1 (Fell)  3rd: Northofthewall 7/1

Burrows Edge is a fairly useful hurdler who shaped well in a couple of course and distance contests during second half of last term. Fell on his return/chase debut when going very well at Ludlow last month and now respected back over timber especially given the numbers of the Henderson/Nico de Boinville.

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