NEWCASTLE AW Racecourse Template (Friday 29 March 2024)
March 28th, 2024
The BIG FOUR! |
The Cheltenham Festival is unique and comes with its own personality, type and quality - a failure or disregard to understand/appreciate gives the edge to the bookmaker. The very essence of the Festival makes demands not applicable elsewhere, and if the reader believes (as we do), that mathematics is the governing force of horse rating betting they need to absorb then honour our numbers.There will be a fairy story or two this year but of the 28 races the vast majority will be won by the best trainers, taking them on is folly.The Cheltenham Festival 2020 (Home Page) |
TOP TRAINERS at 2019 CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Nicky Henderson: 4-35 for 11% (+27) Willie Mullins: 4-59 for 7% (+18) Gordon Elliott: 3-45 for 7% (-35) Henry De Bromhead: 2-19 for 11% (+38) Dan Skelton: 2-13 for 15% (+11) Joseph O'Brien: 2-17 for 12% (-6) Paul Nicholls: 2-34 for 6% (-13)
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Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a math-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a math-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge. ~ The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit. |
Today's Pacafi: click here |
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