(3m2f70y) (New) Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Cheltenham Gold Cup is the most prestigious event in the whole of the National Hunt calendar and the highlight of the Festival. Open to those 5yo and older it takes place over a 3m2f+ trip finding out any horses that does not jump the 22 fences fluently or has stamina doubts. Run at speed it seriously tests the jumping ability of the contenders and then there is the hill.

The Cheltenham Festival 2020 (Home Page)

3.30: (New) Magners Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) 3m2f70y

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24/24: Rated 147 or less finished unplaced (100%)
19/19: British winners rated 166 or higher (100%)
20/20: Recorded a Grade 1 victory (100%)
19/19: Aged 6-9yo (100%)
15/15: Top 6 finish last time out (100%)
14/14: Raced at Cheltenham before (6 have won) (100%)
13/13: Rested at least 31 days (100%)
12/12: At least 2 previous chase wins (100%)
12/12: At least 1 previous Cheltenham run (100%)

18/19: Won a Grade 1 chase (95%)
17/18: Last start in a Graded Chase (94%)
11/12: Won over 3m+ previously (92%)
12/13: Aged between 7 and 9 (92%)
11/12: Ran at least twice over 24 furlongs or further (92%)
11/12: At least 4 runs over hurdles (92%)
11/12: Previously won over 24 furlongs or further (92%)
21/23: Won at least 1 of last 3 races (91%)

17/19: Returned 8/1 or shorter (89%)
15/17: Last start at (Kempton 6, Leopardstown 5 or Newbury 4) (88%)
13/15: Ran 2-5 times that season (87%)
13/15: Top 2 last time out (87%)
16/19: Top 3 in the betting (84%)
10/12: Rated 165 or higher (83%)
10/12: First 3 in the betting (83%)
10/12: Recorded at least 1 win that season (83%)
10/12: Won previous run (83%)
10/12: Had 2 or more runs that season (83%)
10/12: Raced over fences at least 7 times (83%)
18/22: Won over 3m or further (82%)
10/13: Won previous run before Cheltenham (77%)
..9/12: Rated 166 or higher (75%)
..9/12: Placed at the Festival before (75%)
..9/12: Aged between 8 and 9yo (75%)
..9/12: Last run within the last 77 days (75%)
11/15: Ran 5-11 times over fences (73%)
..8/12: Not trained in Ireland (67%)
..8/12: Beaten favourites (67%)
..8/12: At least 3 wins over hurdles (67%)
..8/12: Had at least 3 season runs (67%)
..8/12: At least 4 previous chase wins (67%)
..8/12: At least 2 wins over 24 furlongs or further (67%)
11/18: Last raced in a Grade 1 (61%)
..6/12; Won at Cheltenham previously (50%)
..6/12: Rated 170 or higher (50%)
..4/12: Winning favorites have won (33%)

Winning favourites in non-handicap chases: 24-40 for 60% (+2.34)

The trends are strong. The top 9 show 148 /148 for 100% and the top 17 show 260/269 for 97%. Compelling numbers...

Today's Pacafi: click here

The Racing Horse Verdict

1st: SANTINI 5/1 (2nd)  2nd: Al Boum Photo 10/3 (WINNER)  3rd: Delta Work 5/1 (5th)

Exacta: £19.40 & CSF: £18.93

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