(2m62y) (New) Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase is a Grade 3 open to horses aged 5yo and older, run on the new course at Cheltenham over a distance of just over 2m with 14 fences to be jumped. This is the oldest race of the Festival and oldest chase in the National Hunt calendar, first run in 1834. As always previous form over these fences is more than a plus.

The Cheltenham Festival 2020 (Home Page)

4.50: (New) Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) 2m62y

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20/21: Contested 12 or less steeplechases (95%)
12/13: Ran at Cheltenham previously (92%)
12/13: Ran 5 times or more over hurdles (92%)
12/13: Beaten favourites (92%)
12/13: Raced 5 previous chase runs (92%)
12/13: Rating of 130 or higher (92%)
11/12: At least 5 previous runs over hurdles (92%)
11/12: Previously won a chase (92%)

15/17: Carried less than 11st (88%)
11/13: Aged 6-9yo (85%)
11/13: Ran 3 times that season (85%)
10/12: At least 2 previous wins over hurdles (83%)
10/12: At least 10 previous runs over 16/17 furlongs (83%)
10/12: At least 3 previous wins over 16/17 furlongs (83%)
13/18: Won by Novices (72%)
..8/12: Aged between 7 and 9yo (67%)
..7/12: Last run within the last 54 days (58%)
..9/16: Rated between 129-134 (56%)
..8/15: Course winners (53%)
..6/12: Won at Cheltenham (50%)
..7/20: Irish winner (35%)..4/12: Top 3 in the betting (33%)
..9/46: Finished unplaced in race before festival (20%)
..2/13: Won during the season (15%)
..2/17: Aged older than 9yo (12%)
..1/12: Winning favourites (8%)
..1/12: Won last race before Cheltenham (8%)
..1/13: Winning favourites (8%)
..2/29: Rested more than 45 days (7%)
..0/27: Rated over 145 (0%)

Winning favourites in handicap chases:12-71 for 17% (-28.25)

Our top 8 trends show 102/110 for 93%. Tricky race but trends must help...

Today's Pacafi: click here

The Racing Horse Verdict

1st: CHOSEN MATE 6/1 (WINNER)  2nd: Paloma Blue 11/1 (12th)  3rd: Lisp 7/1 (7th)  4th: Greanetean 5/1 (4th)

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