The Racing Horse provides our Racecourse Template for Thurles on Saturday. Thurles gets to have a rare moment in the spotlight with 5 races to be screened on ITV4. The feature race is the 3.10 Grade 3 Pierce Molony Memorial Novice Chase.
Before placing a bet we duly note the differentials between favourites in non-handicap hurdle and chase races (51%) and of those in handicap races (21%)!
Figures show 100 winning favourites from just 196 races for a 51% strike rate and a break even figure to a £1 stake to SP. The suggestion is to look carefully at the favourite before taking it on.
THURLES RACECOURSE TEMPLATE
FAVOURITES NON-HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) HANDICAP RACES (5 YEARS) Hurdle: 58-113 for 51% (+3.81) 18-82 for 22% (-26.98) Chase: 42-83 for 51% (-3.87) 7-39 for 18% (-16.13) NHF: 16-41 for 39% (-6.91) 0-0 for - Total: 116-237 for 49% (-6.96) 25-121 for 21% (-43.11) TOP TRAINERS at Thurles for current season W P Mullins: 12 wins from 37 for 32% (-9.46) Henry De Bromhead: 5 wins from 29 for 17% (-11.70) Gordon Elliott: 5 wins from 42 for 12% (-23.65) M F Morris: 3 wins from 8 for 38% (+7.25) James D Dullea: 2 wins from 4 for 50% (+16.00) TOP JOCKEYS at Thurles for current season Paul Townend: 6 wins from 19 for 32% (-7.42) Philip Enright: 5 wins from 34 for 15% (+13.00) Robbie Power: 4 wins from 19 for 21% (+0.00) Rachael Blackmore: 4 wins from 28 for 14% (-18.95) Sean O'Keefe: 3 wins from 22 for 14% (+6.50)
As expected the top trainer and jockey combinations at the course are Willie Mullins and Paul Townend. Mullins has three entered for tomorrow but we cannot see an obvious winner and this is backed up by his comments: "Karl Der Grosse goes for the 2m 6f conditions hurdle. This is a tough assignment for him. He is returning after a long lay-off and he wouldn’t be in love with very soft ground. However, he is ready to start off so he will take his chance."
Furthermore he said: "Cut The Mustard runs in the 2m 2f novice chase. She will like the ground and is 7lbs better off with Sizing Pottsie who beat her by 12 lengths at Navan last time. That should bring the two closer here but we will be pleased if our horse finishes in the first three today. Max Dynamite goes for the 2m 6f beginners chase. He has been disappointing in two chases at this track but the experience gained should be an asset today. The step up in trip here will also be a big help and hopefully the ground won’t be too soft for him."
1.40: (1m7f177y) Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle (5yo+) ITV4
£40.10: Gavin Patrick Cromwell's profit to £1 with one runner on card (hurdles) (RUINOUS)
23%: Gordon Elliott's strike rate at THURLES since start of 2014/15 season (FAKIERA)
Winning favourites in non-handicap hurdles:58-113 for 51% (+3.81)
Fakiera sets a pretty good standard on his brace of runner-up efforts, and could have more to come, so he's taken to make it third time lucky in this sphere. Arthurian Fame is the type to bounce back quickly from a below-par display last time, while Ruinous wasn't disgraced behind a subsequent winner at Clonmel earlier this month, so is well worth a close look for an in-form yard.
The Racing Horse Verdict: 1st: FAKIERA Evens (2nd) 2nd: Politesse 9/4 (WINNER) 3rd: Arthurian Fame 13/2 (7th)
Exacta: £5.40 & CSF: £5.21
2.10: (2m6f89y) BetVictor Hurdle (5yo+) ITV4
4: W. P. Mullins's winners in past 8 runnings. (KARL DER GROSSE)
23%: Gordon Elliott at THURLES since start of 2014/15 season (FEROCIOUS & CARTWRIGHT)
36%: W. P. Mullins at THURLES since the start of the 2014/15 season (KARL DER GROSSE)
Winning favourites in non-handicap hurdles:58-113 for 51% (+3.81)
JETZ was right back on his game when runner-up in a useful minor event at Leopardstown 3 weeks ago and a repeat of that performance may enable him to go one better. Mary Frances arrives on the back of a career-best effort, while it will be interesting to see what Moyhenna can do over hurdles in first-time cheekpieces.
The Racing Horse Verdict: 1st: JETZ 7/2 (WINNER) 2nd: Mary Frances 7/4 (2nd) 3rd: Brace Yourself 6/1 (7th)
Exacta: £6.10 & CSF: £7.19
2.40: (2m6f89y) BetVictor Handicap Hurdle (4yo+ 80-95) ITV4
23%: Gordon Elliott at THURLES since start of 2014/15 season (SPORTY YANKEE)
Winning favourites in handicap hurdles: 18-82 for 22% (-26.98)
JOHNNY LITTLE LEGS showed much improved form and only just failed to open his account over 2m here 2 weeks ago. Nicely clear of the remainder that day, he's still low-mileage and earns the vote. Goulane Jessie, Sporty Yankee and Memory of Youth head up the dangers.
The Racing Horse Verdict: 1st: SPORTING YANKEE 10/1 (PU) 2nd: Johnny Little Legs 11/4 (9th) 3rd: Need For Gold 15/2 (NR)
3.10: 2m2f Pierce Molony Memorial Novice Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) ITV4
36%: W. P. Mullins at THURLES since start of 2014/15 season (CUT THE MUSTARD)
23%: Gordon Elliott at THURLES since tstart of 2014/15 season (DALLAS DES PICTONS)
21%: Mrs J. Harrington's strike rate in spring (SIZING POTTSIE & EMILY MOON)
Winning favourites in non-handicap chases: 42-83 for 51% (-3.87)
A red-hot Group 3 and SIZING POTTSIE is taken to make it 3 wins from as many completed starts over fences. He jumped well at Navan and looks capable of even better stepping up in trip. Dallas des Pictons clearly has a race in him in this sphere after his unlucky experience at Naas, while Zero Ten retains potential if none the worse for last month's fall.
The Racing Horse Verdict: 1st: SIZING POTTSIE 9/4 (F) 2nd: Zero Ten 4/1 (WINNER) 3rd: Dunvegan 8/1 (2nd)
Exacta: £26.50 & CSF: £27.57
3.40: (2m4f91y) Duggan Veterinary Handicap Chase (5yo+) ITV4
Winning favourites in handicap chases: 7-39 for 18% (-16.13)
GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS has made a low-key start over fences this year but she's potentially on a good mark switched to a handicap and could be worth chancing. The improving Trumps Ace should make a bold bid for the hat-trick, while Kavanaghs Corner has improved for Henry de Bromhead this season.
The Racing Horse Verdict: 1st: TRUMPS ACE 11/1 (10th) 2nd: Wrong Direction 11/2 (2nd) 3rd: Crazyheart 8/1 (3rd)
Thurles is the only family-owned racecourse in Ireland and has been in the Molony family since the early 1900’s. Thurles racecourse was never purpose-built, but has developed and evolved over the years. Developments have been ongoing to improve facilities for its patrons and to make race days as enjoyable as possible. On the track, Kinloch Brae winners of 2016 Don Cossack and 2017 Sizing John have gone on to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
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