The Importance of KRILL

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

During the current downtime and before racing is resumed we take this opportunity to remind readers who we are and if we have anything important to say.

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The Racing Horse is NOT, or ever claimed to be, a tipster. This location is a vehicle for our personal and professional betting and our primary source of income. For disciplinary reasonsĀ we organically produce a common sense rationale and one we enjoy sharing with our members, some of which are very astute. In turn they make sure we uphold our standard whilst acting as a proofing tool. So, if we are not a tipster - who or what are we?

Our Home Page affirms: "We are a website dedicated to horse racing information and pertinent advice. Its primary function is to entertain and help readers find winners. It will remind, aid and improve the selection process by using a variety of information sources. This racing magazine will be honest and without embellishment."

It is our sincere belief bettors should find their own pathway and not rely on tipsters. In any case where does one find an honest racing tipster able to show/return a regular profit, and better still one who can explain their processes? Of course, not everyone who enjoys a flutter is a serious player or has the dedicated time needed to be successful and that is understandable, the main reason we give detailed figures and a pertinent rationale to the members. Mathematically exact figures help remove randomness and opinionĀ and if our rationale is bogus or falls below standard it will be readily exposed and besides, the information forwarded can only help the filtration or those thought processes and not only for the races covered.

So in conclusion, we are NOT tipsters because we do NOT tip. The rationale accompanying our personal bets and the information of other strategies and systems, is what we share with members for a very small subscription (33p per day)! We intentionally have a small membership with no urge to pursue. We have no affiliations or adverts on site and only email alert when we have something to say of advantage.

With the above in mind we watched a fascinating webinar courtesy of Michael Wilding and Race Advisor and it prompted this blog. We enjoy and trust the work of Michael (along with Matt Bisogno), and a big help to us especially in our formative years. We wrote a piece for RACE ADVISOR in November 2014 spelling out our core beliefs, and it attracted significant interest, we still have three full-time members with us from that time. It was not the best written piece but hope our main point/beliefs came across...

Michael talked about how best to use strategies with the need to focus, commit, visualise, adapt, and remove negatives within variances, something we have tried to do but not always succeeded. He then related a story whereby he introduced a strategy to 300 people and monitored their involvement, despite the strategy still being in profit 8 months later, because of downswings every single one of those 300 had disappeared and moved on to the next great thing which of course does not exist.

The cornerstone of The Racing Horse is our Pacafi which is an acronym for professional, calculated and filtered investment. It has been in operation publicly since June 2011 and made incremental profits every year with just one or two losing quarters. We readily accept the average punter is not interested in incremental gains or a small return on investment, they prefer promises of something that does not exist! The vast majority of bettors are happy to chase and lose and then blame somebody other than themselves. It will always be so!

Unfortunately nothing can be done for the masses and besides, they are the cannon fodder or krill of the sports betting food chain. They are the most important part and need to exist so that those who work hard can profit!

Another reason for our existence is we enjoy writing about sport and voicing our opinions. We were the number one writer for Betfair for almost five years in its formative years writing about a number of sports and offering betting advice. Our website not only gives us an opportunity to prattle but build confidence and hone our betting. We have written for a number of publications since but enjoyed talking to and working with ON COURSE PROFITS INTERVIEW and they allowed us to express ourselves a little further.

If there is anything we have said of interest and you would like to know more then please CONTACT US for a same day response. Thank you for your interest.

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Today's Pacafi: click here

Proven mathematical laws are the governing force of horse racing betting. Consequently every bet we place is conceived then predicated from statistical analysis protected by a math-based edge with perceived value attached. Our formula is simple because we are yet to be convinced that a complication of a system is proportional to profit. So what do we mean by a math-based edge? It means finding something with a solid mathematical core, something historically profitable and something that is unlikely to change or suffer fatigue going forward. Then, if we can filter negative influences from the original proposal and provide a sound rationale for doing so, we can claim that betting edge.

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The absolute key to success in betting is the ability to identify value bet situations where the odds available are greater than the true chance of winning and then to have the discipline to methodically bet only when these situations arise. If this is done the laws of mathematics and probability dictate that in the long term, you will make a profit.

Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

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