2020 Coronation Cup Stakes (Group 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

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The Racing Horse looks at the key trends for this year's Coronation Cup. The race is a Group One raced over a trip of 1m4f. The Investec Coronation Cup, usually staged at Epsom, has been relocated to Newmarket and headlines an action-packed card on Friday 5 June 2020. The supporting races for the Group 1 include Derby and Oaks trials as well as Pattern level contests like the Brigadier Gerard Stakes and the Abernant Stakes.

RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for NEWMARKET (Rowley Mile)

RACING TRENDS for the 2020 CORONATION CUP

18/18: Previously won a Group 1 or 2 race (100%)
17/18: Won over 1m4f before (94%)
17/18: Aged 6yo or younger (94%)
16/18: Top three last time out (89%)
15/18: Aged 4 or 5yo (83%)

13/18: Raced within the last 5 weeks (72%)
12/18: Ran at Chester, York, Newmarket or Curragh last time out (67%)
12/18: Favourites placed (67%)
11/18: Stall 3 placed (4 won) (61%)
..8/18: Won by Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017) (44%)
..8/18: Winning favourites (44%)
..7/18: Won last race (39%)
..6/18: Ran at Epsom before (33%)
..3/18: Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017) (17%)
..1/18: Winners from stall 1 (6%)

The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/3

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has been cleared to have his first runners of the season in Britain after it was announced that overseas runners will be allowed to run in the Coronation Cup, 2,000 Guineas and 1,000 Guineas. The rules allow trainers in Ireland and France to compete in these first three Group One races of the British season run at Newmarket on 5, 6 and 7th respectively and precede the resumption of Irish racing which was confirmed on Friday as 8 June.

WINNING FAVOURITES in NON-HANDICAPS for horses 4yo+ at NEWMARKET over the ROWLEY MILE show 16-41 for 39%. Our betting advice is to filter the top 5 trends from the rest of the field as they show 83-90 for a strong 92%.

PREVIOUS WINNERS of the CORONATION CUP

2019: Defoe (11/1)
2018: Cracksman (2/7f)
2017: Highland Reel (9/4f)
2016: Postponed (8/11f)
2015: Pether’s Moon (11/1)
2014: Cirrus des Aigles (10/11f)
2013: St Nicholas Abbey (3/10f)
2012: St Nicholas Abbey (8/11f)
2011: St Nicholas Abbey (Evsf)
2010: Fame And Glory (5/6f)
2009: Ask (5/1)
2008: Soldier Of Fortune (9/4)
2007: Scorpion (8/1)
2006: Shirocco (8/11f)
2005: Yeats (5/1)

TIMEFORM 

A cracking renewal of a Group 1 which has switched from its usual venue Epsom. The front-running GHAIYYATH has an excellent record when fresh so his break since his very easy reappearance win in Dubai in February is of no concern and he's taken to see off the trip-dropping Stradivarius. Last year's winner Defoe may prove best of the remainder.

If Ghaiyyath turns up on his A game then they have got him to beat. His last run in Dubai was over a mile and a quarter and this step back up to a mile and a half will suit him – it's his best trip. He's in great order and looks the finished article now as a 5yo - Charlie Appleby.

Anthony Van Dyck will enjoy conditions as we think good ground is important to him. Running him on soft ground in the King George last season seemed to upset him, so we’ll try to avoid that with him this year if we can. He seems to be in good form again now. The good ground and the mile and a half trip shout suit Broome. We think he might even stay a bit further. He didn’t get to have a full campaign last season. The Irish Derby didn’t work out for him. We always thought he would be better at four than he was at three - Aidan O'Brien.

Let's be very clear that this is a trial for another crack at the Ascot Gold Cup. It's not ideal to be starting for Stradivarius off at a mile and a half but the race is on our doorstep and it comes in a good slot. He's in good form going into the race and won't mind any rain as he goes on anything. It's a long time since he's run on the Rowley Mile, which was when he was beaten by Cracksman as a 2yo - John Gosden.

THE RACING HORSE VERDICT:

1 GHAIYYATH 11/8 (WINNER)  2 ATHONY VAN DYKE 15/2 (2nd)  3 STRADIVARIUS 7/2 (3rd)

Exacta: £7.60 CSF: £6.64 Trifecta: £17.20

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