2020 Brigadier Gerard Stakes

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The Racing Horse looks at the key trends for this year's Group 3 Brigadier Gerard Stakes. This 1m2f race is normally staged at Sandown towards the end of May.

RACING TRENDS for the 2020 BRIGADIER GERARD STAKES (Group 3)

17/17: Won at least twice before (100%)
15/17: Won over at least 1m2f before (88%)
13/17: Favourites finished in the top 3 (76%)
13/17: Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting (76%)
13/17: Won Group or Listed race before (76%)
13/17: Came from the top 3 in the betting (76%)
13/17: Won between 2-4 times before (76%)

12/17:Winning distance – 1 length or less (71%)
12/17: Aged 4yo (71%)
12/17: Rated 111 or higher (71%)
10/17: Won a Group Race before (59%)
10/17: Raced within the last 7 weeks (59%)
..8/17: Drawn in stall 4 or lower (47%)
..7/17: Irish bred (41%)
..6/17: Trained by Michael Stoute (35%)
..6/17: Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 9) (35%)
..5/17: Won last time out (29%)
..5/17: Winning favourites (29%)
..4/17: Raced at Newmarket last time out (24%)
..2/17: Raced at the Curragh last time out (12%)

The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1

Our top 7 trends show 97-119 for 82% and a natural starting point for filtration purposes. We certainly need a horse that has won twice before and won over the 1m2f distance - the combination shows 32-34 for 94%.

PREVIOUS WINNERS of the BRIGADIER STAKES

2019: REGAL REALITY (9/4)
2018: POET’S WORD (4/6f)
2017: AUTOCRATIC (8/1)
2016: TIME TEST (3/1)
2015: WESTERN HYMN (11/4)
2014: SHARESTAN (5/6f)
2013: MUKHADRAM (3/1)
2012: CARLTON HOUSE (10/11f)
2011: WORKFORCE (Evsf)
2010: STOTSFOLD (7/1)
2009: CIMA DE TRIOMPHE (4/1)
2008: SMOKEY OAKEY (20/1)
2007: TAKE A BOW (11/1)
2006: NOTNOWCATO (5/4f)
2005: NEW MORNING (12/1)
2004: BANDARI (7/2)
2003: SIGHTS ON GOLD (7/1)

The Racing Horse Verdict and the Timeform Comments to appear here once the race has firmed up...

Today's Pacafi: click here

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