Ascot Stakes (Handicap Class 2) (4yo+ 0-100) 2m3f110y

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The race has a long history, having been first run back in 1840. It usually attracts a large field, with many horses coming from stables usually associated with National Hunt racing due to the marathon distance, and is known to be one of the most popular betting races of the Royal Ascot meeting.

Royal Ascot (Home Page)

The race has been dominated in recent years by Irish trainers, and in particular Willie Mullins, who has won the Ascot Stakes four times, he will not be represented this year so a chance for UK trainers to win this prize. It is a punter-friendly handicap. Rules dictate horses can over travel over from Ireland for Class 1 races so they will be unrepresented in this and huge relief to the home team as the Irish had won 6 of the last 8 runnings. 14 of the last 18 winners have come from primarily national hunt stables.

ASCOT STAKES (Handicap Class 2) 2m4f

11/11: No bigger than 12/1 (100%)
16/18: Carried 9st 0lbs or more (89%)
14/18: Won by stable better known for NH runners (78%)
14/18: At least 1 previous run on flat that season (78%)
21/30: First 6 in the betting (70%)
12/18: Won over at least 2m on the flat before (67%)
11/18: Aged 4 or 5yo (61%)
..7/12: Came from a double-figure stall (58%)
..9/18: Returned a double-figure price (50%)
..8/18: Won previous race (44%)
..4/18: Trained by Willie Mullins (22%)
..3/18: Trained by the Pipe stable (17%)
..3/18: Winning favourites (17%)

WINNERS (last 18 years)

2019: The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018: Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017: Thomas Hobson (4/1f)
2016: Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015: Clondaw Warrior (5/1f)
2014: Domination (12/1)
2013: Well Sharp (9/1)
2012: Simenon (8/1)
2011: Veiled (11/2)
2010: Junior (17/2)
2009: Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008: Missoula (20/1)
2007: Full House (20/1)
2006: Baddam (33/1)
2005: Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004: Double Obsession (25/1)
2003: Sindapour (12/1)
2002: Riyadh (7/1f)

The Racing Trends are not of huge value but need one that carries more than 9st and from a trainer from our Racecourse Template or a top National Hunt trainer.

TIMEFORM: 

With Willie Mullins unrepresented this year, VERDANA BLUE can strike for fellow leading jumps trainer Nicky Henderson. A top-notch hurdler, she is unexposed in this sphere and the booking of Ryan Moore, who has steered home the winner of this race 3 times since 2012, adds to her appeal. Summer Moon is a big threat judged on his Cesarewitch effort and the progressive Moon King is also feared.

THE RACING HORSE VERDICT:

1 SUMMER MOON 11/1 (3rd)  2 Diocletian 25/1 (11th)  3 Verdana Blue 4/1 (2nd)  4 Moon King 9/1 (8th)

Disclaimer
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