Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (4yo+) 1m (Str)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Duke of Cambridge Stakes is one of Royal Ascot’s newer races, established in 2004 as the Windsor Forest Stakes before taking its present title in 2013. 

Royal Ascot (Home Page)

The leading trainer in the Duke of Cambridge Stakes is Michael Stoute with four winners whilst the leading jockeys are William Buick, Wayne Lordan and Ryan Moore with 2 wins each.

DUKE OF CAMBRIDGE (Group 2) 1m

15/16: Won over a mile (or further) before (94%)
11/12: At least 1 previous win in Group 1-3 race (92%)
14/16: Won Group 3 or better before (88%)
14/16: At least 1 previous run that season (88%)
14/16: Finished in top 3 last time out (88%)
10/12: Aged 4yo (83%)
10/12: Raced 4 or more times over 8 furlongs (83%)
10/12: At least 3 previous flat wins (83%)
10/12: At least 7 previous flat run (83%)
13/16: Won by 4yo (81%)
..9/12: Rated 107 or higher (75%)
..9/12: Ran at Ascot previously (75%)
11/16: Ran at Ascot before (69%)
..8/12: Won twice or more over 8 furlongs (67%)
..9/16: Favourites placed (56%)
..7/16: Won at Ascot before (44%)
..5/16: Returned a double-figure price (31%)
..5/16: Winning favourites (1 co) (31%)
..4/16: Ran at Epsom last time out (25%)
..4/16: Owned by Cheveley Park Stud (25%)
..2/16: Won by trainer James Fanshawe (13%)
..2/16: Winners from stall 1 (13%)

WINNERS (last 16 years)

2019: Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018: Aljazzi (9/2)
2017: Qemah (5/2f)
2016: Usherette (9/4f)
2015: Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014: Integral (9/4f)
2013: Duntle (10/3)
2012: Joviality (11/1)
2011: Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010: Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009: Spacious (10/1)
2008: Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007: Nannina (3/1cf)
2006: Soviet Song (11/8f)
2005: Peeress (14/1)
2004: Favourable Terms (13/2)

The Racing Trends suggests we filter those that have won over a mile previously, won a Group 1-3 race, finished in the top 3 last time out and aged 4yo. Figures show 50-56 for 89%.

TIMEFORM: 

A number of these remain open to improvement, including NAZEEF who has created a good impression to date and highlighted her well-being with success at listed level on return 2 weeks ago, displaying an impressive turn of foot to boot. She's fancied to make a bold bid to complete the five-timer. Lavender's Blue is expected to do better again and along with Miss O Connor heads the dangers.

THE RACING HORSE VERDICT:

1 NAZEEF 10/3 (WINNER)  2 Jubiloso 7/2 (LAST)  3 Queen Power 15/2 (3rd)

Disclaimer
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