Newmarket July Festival (Day 3)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our RACING TRENDS, RACECOURSE TEMPLATE & BETTING ADVICE for the Moët & Chandon July Festival from Newmarket (Day 3).


The Darley July Cup (Group 1) 6f has its own designated page below:

Darley July Cup (Group 1) 6f ITV

The selection is Golden Horde for Clive Cox who has won the race twice in the last seven years.

1.50 Newmarket: Bet365 Mile Handicap (Class 2) ITV

16/18: Won over 7f or further previously (89%)
14/18: Carried 9st 4lbs or less (78%)
14/18: Had 2 or more runs that season (78%)
10/18: Unplaced in their last race (56%)
..9/18: Unplaced favourites (50%)
..8/18: Stall 8 or higher (44%)
..3/18: Won last race (17%)
..3/18: Winning Favourites (17%)
..2/18: Trained by Michael Stoute (11%)
..2/18: Ridden by Dane O’Neill (11%)

Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2019


A field chock-full of interesting and unexposed sorts. ESTABLISH was made to work harder than the market anticipated to land the odds at Bath, but he’s worth plenty of credit for getting himself out of trouble, and looks the sort to thrive now returning to handicap company given his strong-travelling style. Finest Sound, Haqeeqy and Surf Dancer are a trio of others to note.

The Racing Horse Verdict:

1 FINEST SOUND 5/2 (3rd)  2 Eastern World 7/2 (2nd)  3 Haqeeqy 13/2 (Last)

Finest Sound showed plenty of promise behind good horses last season and on his first run since having a gelding operation/wind surgery (tongue-tie also new) he won with sufficient authority at Haydock over 1m on good to soft ground to be sent off favourite for the Britannia at Royal Ascot over 1m on soft ground, in which under his penalty he was clear of the rest behind an impressive winner. It is fair to say he bumped into one there and this 7lb higher mark isn't that off-putting as he looks likely to progress again.

There's every chance he'll get 1m2f this year so every chance he will be hitting the winning post hard, and Silvestre De Sousa takes over from Andrea Atzeni and a preferred jockey booking. Finest Sound was a first winner for the new partnership of Simon and son Ed Crisford and we note 3 of their last 7 runners have won at odds of 12/1, 15/8 and 15/2.

The main danger must be Eastern World who is a half-brother to top-class Thunder Snow and sent off odds-on favourite for all his runs. He is another who looks certain to progress again.

3.00 Newmarket: Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) 7f ITV4

17/18: Won over at least 6f previously (94%)
16/18: Placed in last race (89%)
15/18: Priced 8/1 or shorter (83%)
13/18: Won last race (72%)
12/18: Had 2 or more previous career runs (67%)
12/18: Won by a March or April foal (67%)
..9/18: Stall 5 or lower (50%)
..8/18: Unplaced favourites (44%)
..6/18: Winning Favourites (33%)
..5/18: Trained by Richard Hannon (28%)
..4/18: Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (22%)
..4/18: Stall 3 winners (22%)
..2/18: Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7) (11%)
..2/18: Trained by Mick Channon (11%)

Mystery Power (7/1) won the race in 2019


A race all about potential as there is not much to choose between most of these on what they have achieved so far. SEVENTH KINGDOM sports the Timeform large P so tops the shortlist ahead of King Zain and Devious Company.

The Racing Horse Verdict:

1 MASTER OF THE SEAS 11/2 (WINNER)  2 Seventh Kingdom  6/1 (3rd)  3 Hudson River 7/2 (8th)

4.10 Newmarket: Bet365 Bunbury Cup Heritage Handicap (Class 2) 7f ITV

17/18: Won over 7f previously (94%)
17/18: Raced 3 or more times that season (94%)
14/18: Carried 9st 4lbs or less (78%)
11/18: Returned a double-figure price (61%)
11/18: Aged 4 or 5yo (61%)
10/18: Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 (56%)
11/18: Stall 14 or higher (61%)
..9/18: Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (50%)
..9/18: From a double-figure stall that 1, 2 and 3 (50%)
..8/18: Placed in last race (44%)
..4/18: Winning favourites (inc joint and co) (22%)
..3/18: Trained by Richard Fahey (17%)
..3/18: Ridden by Frankie Dettori (17%)
..2/18: Ridden by Ryan Moore (11%)

Vale Of Kent (13/2) won the race in 2019


MUTAMAASIK was a couple of places behind the fellow Hamdan Al Maktoum-owned Motakhayyel in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, but the track bias favoured Richard Hannon's charge on that occasion, so he's taken to reverse the form in a race that the pair could dominate. Godhead is also open to further progress, so he's another one to be interested in.

The Racing Horse Verdict:

1 ARIGATO 10/1 (4th)  2 Sir Busker 12/1 (2nd)  3 Godhead 28/1 (3rd)  4 Mutamaasik 11/2 (16th)

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