The Racing Horse looks at the Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) at Newmarket on Saturday 8 August 2020 and offer our RACECOURSE TEMPLATE & RACING TRENDS to help with filtration.
NEWMARKET (JULY) FAVOURITES (5 years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo: 59-134 for 44% (+8.12) 10-24 for 42% (-3.95) 3yo: 27-64 for 42% (-6.58) 75-250 for 30% (-39.66) 4yo+: 12-29 for 41% (+3.04) 41-128 for 32% (+3.98) Total: 98-227 for 43% (+4.58) 126-402 for 31% (-39.63)
NEWMARKET (JULY) Top 5 Trainers current year John Gosden: 7-24 for 29% (+10.74) Charlie Appleby: 5-26 for 19% (-9.95) Richard Hannon: 4-27 for 15% (-10.34) William Haggas: 3-17 for 18% (-5.00) Mark Johnston: 3-25 for 12% (-1.00)
NEWMARKET (JULY) Top 5 Jockeys current year William Buick: 9-30 for 30% (+8.79) Oisin Murphy: 6-20 for 30% (+9.11) Jim Crowley: 4-17 for 24% (+7.50) Andrea Atzeni: 3-14 for 21% (+7.00) Ben Curtis: 3-19 for 16% (-9.25)
3.20 Newmarket: Betway Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (2yo) 7f ITV4
16/17: Raced within last 5 weeks (94%)
15/17: Priced 11/2 or shorter (88%)
15/17: Won by Jan, Feb or March foal (88%)
14/17: Placed in top 3 in last race (82%)
14/17: Top 3 in the betting (82%)
14/17 : Won just once previously (82%)
12/17: Won over only 6f previously (71%)
10/17: Favourites placed (59%)
10/17: Raced at Newmarket (July) previously (59%)
..9/17: Won last race (53%)
..9/17: Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out (53%)
..8/17: Yet to win over 7f (47%)
..8/17: Winning favourites (47%)
..7/17: One previous run (41%)
..5/17: Won by Godolphin (29%)
..3/17: Trained by the Hills stable (18%)
West End Girl (11/2) won the race in 2019
- 2yo winning favourites win non-handicaps at Newmarket 44% of the time.
- Winning horses have raced with the last 5 weeks: 16/17 for 94%
FLY MISS HELEN looked a really exciting prospect when quickening clear impressively to land a gamble on debut at Newbury. This longer trip is sure to suit and she can take the step up in class in her stride. There could be plenty more to come also from Danilova, who won comfortably over C&D last week, while Setarhe and Dubai Fountain are big players representing the Sandown Star Stakes form.
The Racing Horse Verdict:
1 DANILOVA 4/1 (6th) 2 Fly Miss Helen 7/4 (PU) 3 Dubai Fountain 4/1 (2nd)
Danilova is related to several good winners for Godolphin and looked very professional when easily landing a course and distance fillies' novice with plenty in hand under this rider last week. There is more to come from her and she looks a fabulous each-way bet to nothing. Charlie Appleby told us: "We are turning out Danilova quite quickly but she has come out of her last run in good order and has two good runs over this course and distance under her belt. She will need to improve again with the step up to this grade but the signs have all been good and we felt that this was a nice opportunity for her."
With the longest straight in Britain and just one turn to negotiate in distance races, this is a lovely course to ride. Surprisingly, though, there are one or two ridges, even before the run down into the Dip, and you need to ride them smoothly. The other thing a jockey has to remember is that it’s a long way up that finishing hill - you’ll see plenty caught in the closing stages. Because of the chalk base, it can ride very lively, and the wind direction is vital. Getting cover is so, so important when it’s in your face.
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