6.15 Musselburgh: Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6) (3yo+ 0-60) 1m2y

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Today we look at another low class handicap (14 runners) at Musselburgh and use common sense/mathematical filters to sort the contenders from the pretenders. These filters are explained in this RATIONALE

  1. TRAINER FORM
  2. JOCKEY COMPETENCE
  3. CLASS
  4. FORM
  5. GROUND/SURFACE
  6. DISTANCE
  7. SINCE LAST RUN
  8. DRAW

6.00 Musselburgh: Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com Handicap (Class 6) (3yo+ 0-60) 1m2y

                     1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  
 1 Zeshov            ♥ ♥ ♥ 0 ♥ ♥ ♥ 0  75
 2 Mi Capricho       ♥ ♥ ♥ 0 ♥ 0 0 0  50
 3 Lagenda           ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ 0  88
 4 Bawaader          X
 5 Placebo Effect    X 
 6 Chinese Spirit    X
 7 Youneverletmedown ♥ X
 8 Stittenham Wood   ♥ ♥ 0 0 0 0 ♥ 0  38
 9 Fast Track Flyer  ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ 0  88
10 Rosemay           X
11 Lucky Violet      X
12 Tellovoi          X
13 Jazz Magic        X
14 Helmoona          X

♥ Affirmative 0 Negative X Eliminated

 We have our contenders and note the current first and second favourite have been filtered out. From our top 5 contenders we now look at the trainer form in a little more detail. The final set of figures show the trainer's national average strike rate, their current form and their strike rate at Salisbury. We measure current and course form against their national average.

 1 Zeshov:           R BASTIMAN 7%  3-20 for 15% (+8%)  13% (+6%) 
 3 Lagenda:          L BAILEY   7%  2-27 for  7% (+0%)  13% (+6%)   
 8 Fast Track Flyer: B ELLSION 10%  4-47 for  9% (-1%)  11% (+1%)

All three trainers have better strike rates at Musselburgh than their national average and Rebecca Bastiman has the best current form. Her runner is a 9yo but a three-time course and distance winner and that counts for plenty in this low grade. He got off the mark for this year showing he retains some ability though not at his best in two runs this summer. Now down in the weights and every possibility he can bounce back at an attractive price, looks great each-way material.

  • Mi Capricho is down to his last winning mark, won twice here in May 2019
  • Trainer Richard Guest is currently 0-70
  • Trainer David Thompson is currently 0-25 (77 days)
  • Ben Sanderson is currently 0-23
  • Graham Lee is currently 0-27
  • Philip Prince is currently 0-70

1 ZESHOV 8/1 (888)
2 LAGENDA 15/2 (William Hill, 888 & BetVictor)
3 FAST TRACK FLYER 7/1 (general)

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Musselburgh

Right handed, sharp. The turns at the top end of the course are particularly sharp, so the adaptability to negotiate the bends is of paramount importance. Big, long-striding, cumbersome horses are at a disadvantage on the round track, especially at races at up to nine furlongs. On the straight course the fields typically race towards the stand rail, although the deceptive camera angle can give the impression that the horse nearest the rail is further back than is actually the case. The course is one of best draining in the country, conditions rarely on the testing side. 

Jason Weaver view

Musselburgh used to have the tightest right-hand bend in British racing, but they’ve spent a fortune re-cambering and now you can ride into it much faster, without feeling you have to pull your mount around it. It’s a track that still suits sure-footed horses, though, and, if you’re on a nimble one when conditions are fast, you can scoot away and leave the others struggling. The 5f course is very quick indeed, despite a slight uphill incline, and, generally, you’d want to be towards the stands’ side rail.
*.

  Today's Pacafi: click here

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