Ascot British Champions Day (17 October 2020)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

Ascot is the sole meeting covered by ITV this weekend and we ONLY have the PERTINENT trends for it! Do NOT bet until you have absorbed the numbers, if nothing else they sort the contenders from the pretenders. But BEWARE the going is currently soft to heavy in places.

ASCOT RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (17 October 2020)

Check out our RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for ASCOT, you will be surprised with some of the numbers.

1.20 Ascot: Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) 2m ITV

11/12: At least 8 previous flat runs (92%)
11/12: At least 3 previous flat wins (92%)
10/12: Rated 107 or higher (83%)
15/18: Raced within last 5 weeks (83%)
15/18: Won Listed or better previously (83%)
..9/12: Aged 3 to 6yo (75%)
..9/12: Top 3 in betting (75%)
..9/12: Last run within last 36 days (75%)
..9/12: Course winner (75%)
..9/12: At least 1 previous run over 2m (75%)
13/18: Won at least 5 times previously (72%)
12/18: Aged 5yo or older (67%)
12/18: Won over at least 2 miles on flat previously (67%)

Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

The Irish have won 6 of the last 10 (4 won by Aidan O'Brien).
Frankie Dettori has won 3 of the last 18 (2 of the last 5).
Stradivarius won the race in 2018 and second in 2019.

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1.55 Ascot: Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) 6f ITV

17/18: Won over 6f (94%)
17/18: Won at least 3 times (94%)
11/12: At least 1 previous run at Ascot (92%)
11/12: At least 10 previous flat runs (92%)
11/12: At least 3  flat wins (92%)
11/12: At least 4 runs that season (92%)
16/18: Raced within the last 6 weeks (89%)
16/18: Raced at least 4 times that season (89%)
15/18: Returned 12/1 or shorter (83%)
15/18: Won Listed or better (83%)
10/12: Rated 111 or higher (83%)
10/12: At least 2 wins over 6f (83%)
10/12: At least 6 previous runs over 6f (83%)
10/12: Last run with 42 days (83%)
14/18: Raced at Ascot (3 won) (78%)
..9/12: At least 1 win in Group 1-3 race (75%)
13/18: Aged 3 or 4yo (72%)
..8/12: At least 1 win that season (67%)

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket
Jockey Tom Eaves is currently 0-19 since a winner (BRANDO 140.00 Betfair)
Trainer Roger Teal is currently 0-21 since a winner (OXTED 10.00 Betfair)

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2.30 Ascot: Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) 1m4f ITV

12/12: Raced 3 or more times that season (100%)
11/12: Won Listed or better (92%)
11/12: Aged 3 or 4yo (92%)
11/12: At least 3 runs that season (92%)
11/12: Won that season (92%)
10/12: Top 3 in betting (83%)
10/12: Returned 6/1 or shorter (83%)
10/12: Won at least 3 times (83%)
10/12: Rated 109 or higher (83%)
10/12: Group 1-3 winner (83%)
10/12: At least 5 previous flat runs (83%)
10/12: Raced within last 9 weeks (83%)
..9/12: Last run with 37 days (75%)
..9/12: Finished 1 or 2 in last race (75%)
..9/12: Won over 1m4f (75%)
..9/12: Rated 110 or higher (75%)
..8/12: Aged 3yo (67%)

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
The 2009 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket
Trainer Ed Vaughan is currently 0-41 since a winner (DAME MALLIOT 6.8 Betfair)
Hollie Doyle: Group 3 (3) Group 2 (1) Group 1 (0) rides DAME MALLIOT.

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3.05 Ascot: Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18: Raced at least 3 times that season (100%)
17/18: Aged 3 or 5yo (94%)
11/12: Aged 3 or 4yo (92%)
11/12: Top 3 in betting (92%)
11/12: At least 1 win over 8f (92%)
11/12: Won that season (92%)
16/18: Finished in top 3 in last race (89%)
16/18: Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp, Leopardstown LTO (89%)
16/18: Returned 7/1 or shorter (89%)
15/18: Won Group 1 or 2 race previously (83%)
10/12: At least 3 runs over 8f (83%)
10/12: At least 8 flat runs (83%)
10/12: At least 4 runs that season (83%)
14/18: Raced within last 5 weeks (78%)
..9/12: Rated 120 or higher (75%)
..9/12: Won last time out (75%)
..9/12: At least 4 flat wins (75%)
..8/12: Ran with 35 days (67%)
..8/12: Won Group 1 (67%)
10/18: Raced at Ascot previously (6 won) (56%)

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket
Trainers Simon & Ed Crisford are currently 0-25 since a winner (CENTURY DREAM 25.00 Betfair)

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3.40 Ascot: Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

18/18: Won at least 4 times (100%)
17/18: Won between 4 and 8 times (94%)
17/18: Aged 5yo or younger (94%)
11/12: At least 1 win over 10 furlongs (92%)
11/12: At least 9 flat runs (92%)
11/12: Rated 117 or higher (92%)
11/12: Group 1 or 2 winner (92%)
16/18: Finished in top 3 in last race (89%)
16/18: Won over 1m2f (89%)
16/18: Won a Group 1 or 2 (89%)
10/12: At least 6 previous flat wins (83%)
10/12: At least 2 wins that season (83%)
10/12: At least 4 runs that season (83%)
14/18: Aged 3 or 4yo (78%)
..9/12: Ran within the last 59 days (75%)
..9/12: At least 3 previous runs over 10 furlongs (75%)
13/18: Raced within last 6 weeks (72%)
13/18: Raced 5 or more times that season (72%)
..8/12: Top 3 in betting (67%)
..6/12: Winning favourites (50%)

Magical (Evens favourite) won the race in 2019
Aidan O’Brien has just 1 win in the race (Magical)

The last 4 favourites have won this race at 11/8, 13/8, 5/6 and Evens.

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Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose

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