Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire colts & fillies) 1m ITV

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Beware those horses that may have trained over, last weekends racing massively highlighted the point. Looking at the Vertem Futurity Trophy the final Group 1 race of the season is open to 2yo colts and fillies and some of these will have been in training since the spring.

3.25 Doncaster: Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire colts & fillies) 1m ITV

12/12: Previous flat winner (100%)
11/12: Top 3 in betting (92%)
16/18: Won either 1 or 2 races already (89%)
15/18: Placed favourites (83%)
15/18: Foaled February or later (83%)
15/18: Finished in top two last time out (83%)
15/18: Raced within the last 4 weeks (83%)
10/12: At least 2 previous flat runs (83%)
10/12: Raced within 34 days (83%)
10/12: At least 1 run over 8 furlongs (83%)
13/18: Raced at least twice previously (72%)
12/18: Winning favourites (67%)
..8/12: At least 1 win over 8 furlongs (67%)
..8/12: Won last race (67%)
..8/12: Winning favourites (67%)
..1/12: At least 1 previous run at Doncaster (8%)

The average SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2

Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times (1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018)

The 2006 renewal was staged at Newbury and the 2019 at Newcastle

RECENT WINNERS

2019: Kameko (11/2)
2018: Magna Grecia (2/1f)
2017: Saxon Warrior (13/8f)
2016: Rivet (11/4)
2015: Marcel (33/1)
2014: Elm Park (13/8f)
2013: Kingston Hill (7/2f)
2012: Kingsbarns (15/8f)
2011: Camelot (10/11f)
2010: Casamento (2/1f)
2009: St Nicholas Abbey (13/8f)
2008: Crowded House (7/1)
2007: Ibn Khaldun (11/4f)
2006: Authorized (25/1)
2005: Palace Episode (20/1)
2004: Motivator (6/4f)
2003: American Post (5/6f)
2002: Brian Boru (11/8f)

The Racing Horse Verdict: We have to acknowledge Aidan O'Brien relies solely on Wembley when he was 1 of 7 Ballydoyle representatives left in at the five-day confirmation stage and the trainer has won this race nine times. This January colt is going to very hard to beat but we are opposing him with ONE RULER (16 April). His recent third in a 7f Doncaster Listed race has been working out well and he improved again over this additional furlong last time. He was well ridden at Newmarket where the consensus suggested he raced on the best ground but the way he drew away was something else and could easily improve past Wembley, and at 10/3 best price guaranteed looks perceived value. He was supposedly available at 4/1 but we could not get on at that price and do not know anybody who has, though we have banked the 7/2 and expect him to start closer to 11/4.

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