Newbury Racing Trends (Saturday 24 October 2020)

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The Racing Horse is covering 2 races from Newbury and it looks as though the ground is going to play a huge part in the result.

Newbury RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Saturday 24 October 2020)

Check out our RACECOURSE TEMPLATE before you bet where we really do have those pertinent numbers to help eliminate the pretenders from the contenders. You're welcome...

3.35 Newbury: Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) 7f ITV 

12/12: At least 1 win this season (100%)
15/16: Foaled February or later (94%)
10/12: At least 2 previous flat runs (83%)
10/12: At least 2 runs this season (83%)
10/12: Ran within the last 29 days (83%)
13/16: Priced 15/2 or shorter (81%)
13/16: Won 1 or 2 races before (81%)
12/16: Placed 1 or 2 last time out (75%)
11/16: Never raced at Newbury (69%)
11/16: At least 3 previous career runs (69%)
..8/12: Rated 86 or higher (67%)
10/16: Drawn stall 5 or higher (63%)
..1/16: Winning favourites (6%)
..0/12: Winning favourites (0%)
..0/12: Group winner (0%)

The Racing Horse Verdict: EXISTENT at 5/1 (general - best price guaranteed) looks a fabulous each way bet to nothing. Has all the boxes ticked though has to beat Laneqash (RPR 122) who is unproven on the ground. John Gosden told us: "The race didn't go right at Ascot and Existent didn't come out of the race the way we would have liked. He's a strong horse now and as long as he's in good order then we'll look to go to the Horris Hill." Gosden is currently 4-12 for 33% so back in form and his winners have been priced 5/1, 10/3, 1/7 and 5/1.

4.10 Newbury: Teddington RBL Poppy Appeal Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) 1m4f5y ITV 

17/17: Aged 5yo or younger (100%)
10/11: At least 4 previous flat run (91%)
10/11: At least 2 previous flat wins (91%) 

15/17: Won over at least 1m2f (88%)
15/17: Returned 8/1 or shorter (88%)
15/17: Won at least twice before (88%)
14/17: At least 4 runs that season (82%)
..9/11: Aged 3 or 4yo (82%)
..9/11: Top 3 in the betting (82%)
..9/11: Last run within the last 44 days (82%)
..9/11: Rated 102 or higher (82%)
..9/11: At least 1 previous run over 1m4f furlongs (82%)
..9/11: At least 3 runs that season (82%)
13/17: Aged 3 or 4yo (76%)
11/17: Rated 107 or higher (65%)
..5/17: Winning favourites (29%)
..1/11: Group 1-3 winner (9%) 

Morando (8/1) won in 2018
Young Rascal (Evens) won in 2017

The Racing Horse Verdict: LITIGATOR at 15/2 (general - best price guaranteed) looks perceived value. Has won over 1m4f on testing-ground in France so will handle today's conditions for sure! On his first run for Roger Varian the colt did not have the pace to challenge at Newmarket over 1m1f in a Group 3 but the trainer was hiding something from us as he needs all of 1m4f for optimum ground. In that race he was hitting the line strongly and ultimately not beaten very far, he has a progressive look about him and must be in the shake up if not win! Once again he is a certainty for a place and we have a perfect 8-runner field. GET ON!
As we go post 8.8 is available on Betfair and we will leave this for members to get their money on...
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