January 19th, 2021
The Racing Horse offer our powerful RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Kempton on Saturday 26 December 2020 where the going is expected to be good to soft.
Kempton Park is a right handed and flat course and considered very fair with relatively easy fences. The course characteristics having seemingly remained the same since the opening of the all-weather circuit. Can represent a much stiffer test of stamina than expected on soft/heavy going. Kempton is famously home of the Christmas jumping showpiece, the King George VI Chase. First run in 1937, the three-mile chase is the second-most important steeplechase in the calendar and boasts a roll of honour equal to the Gold Cup itself. The big race is the feature on a brilliant Boxing Day card that also includes the Grade 1 Christmas Hurdle and Feltham Novices’ Chase.
FAVOURITES over the last 5 years NON-HANDICAP RACES HANDICAP RACES Hurdle: 51-110 for 46% (-10.22) 30-88 for 34% (+12.20) Chase: 28-45 for 62% (+3.87) 33-96 for 34% (-7.19) NHF: 6-13 for 46% (-0.19) 0-0 for - Total: 85-168 for 51% (-6.54) 63-184 for 34% (+5.01)
TOP 5 TRAINERS at Kempton past 5 years Nicky Henderson: 53 wins from 203 for 26% (-47.73) Paul Nicholls: 43 wins from 191 for 23% (-32.78) Alan King: 20 wins from 144 for 14% (-53.30) N Twiston-Davies: 11 wins from 66 for 17% (+23.75) Chris Gordon: 10 wins from 69 for 14% (-27.40) TOP 3 JOCKEYS at Kempton past 5 years Nico de Boinville: 27 wins from 114 for 24% (-14.77) Harry Cobden: 22 wins from 116 for 19% (+2.11) S Twiston-Davies: 21 wins from 99 for 21% (-11.21)
Favourites in non-handicaps racing over fences produce an amazing 62% winning strike rate whilst those over hurdles produce 46%. The suggestion here is to look long and hard at the favourites in non-handicaps at this course and to be careful about opposing them! Favourites in handicaps produce a winning strike rate just over average so this is definitely a good course for favourites.
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