Wolverhampton RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (8 March 2021)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

The Racing Horse offers our Wolverhampton RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Monday 8 March 2021 and some more pertinent numbers. Tomorrow includes a 7-race card starting at 4.40pm first race.

Wolverhampton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                       Handicap
2yo:    103-240 for 43% (-24.95)    35-101  for 35%   (+8.39)
3yo:    136-318 for 43% (-55.15)   192-594  for 32%  (-56.72)
4yo+:    77-176 for 44%  (-3.10)   332-1095 for 30%  (-82.17)
Total:  316-734 for 43% (-83.19)   559-1790 for 31% (-130.50)
TOP 5 TRAINERS at Wolverhampton for current year
Mark Johnston:   8 wins from 29 for 28%  (+1.35)
David Evans:     8 wins from 51 for 16% (+23.75)
Mark Loughnane:  6 wins from 30 for 20%  (+0.00)
David Loughnane: 5 wins from 31 for 16%  (+4.00)
Richard Hannon:  4 wins from 11 for 36%  (+4.58)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Wolverhampton for past 5 years
David Evans:     68 wins from 608 for 11%  (-71.20)
Michael Appleby: 57 wins from 560 for 10% (-125.61)
Mark Johnston:   54 wins from 412 for 13% (-113.58)
Tom Dascombe:    53 wins from 323 for 16% (+108.08)
David Loughnane: 52 wins from 398 for 13%  (+59.49)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Wolverhampton for current year
Rossa Ryan:       10 wins from 37 for 27% (+28.25)
Luke Morris:       8 wins from 44 for 18%  (+1.66)
Adam Kirby:        7 wins from 25 for 28%  (-3.41)
Richard Kingscote: 6 wins from 48 for 13% (-21.79)
Daniel Muscutt:    5 wins from 12 for 42% (+23.83)

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Wolverhampton for past 5 years
Luke Morris:      116 wins from 1001 for 12% (-261.41)
Richard Kingscote: 89 wins from 605  for 15% (-163.50)
Adam Kirby:        71 wins from 347  for 20%  (-26.10)
David Probert:     69 wins from 637  for 11%  (-54.13)
Jack Mitchell:     66 wins from 321  for 21%   (+4.74)
Wolverhampton AW show a healthy strike rate for winning favourites in non-handicaps at around 43% over the past 5 years. Best age category is currently those 4yo+ where they have won 77-176 for over 44%. Handicap winning favourites mirror the national average, but as you can imagine the older the favourites are in handicaps the worse they perform regarding strike rate and profit to level stakes.

We doubt many could name the top trainer at the course this year and for the last 5 years? It is of course David Evans. A couple of absentee jockeys on the current year leader board is Hollie Doyle and Ben Curtis, we expect them to join the ranks shortly.

  • Longest traveller on Monday is Finally Mine 7.40  for Keith Dalgleish (272m)
  • Godolphin are the top owners over the past 5 years with 60-194 for 31%. They have no runners for tomorrow but 2 at Lingfield on Wednesday in the 2.20 and 2 at Lingfield on Friday in the 1.30 - well worth a look!
  • Second top owner is trainer Antony Brittain with 29-297 for 10% but we notice he is on one long losing run (see below)
  • Trainer A Brittain 0-40 (runs 3 at the track tomorrow)
  • R J Price 0-26
  • G Oldroyd 0-25
  • R Brisland 0-20
  • Jockey Cam Hardie 0-68
  • Charles Bishop 0-41
  • Tyler Heard 0-30
  • Kieran O'Neill 0-29
  • When having one runner at meeting: £14.72 George Boughey's profit to a £1 when having one runner at a flat meeting (THE HULK) 
  • £45.83 Roger Teal's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (ALCAZAN)
  • £50.12 Tom Dascombe profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (ROBUSTLY) 
  • £42.81 Sean Curran's profit to £1 when one runner at flat meeting (UNFORGIVING MINUTE) 
  • £87.87 John Gallagher's profit to £1 when one runner at  flat meeting (INTERCESSOR)

There are two races of real interest for us and we have got involved without making them a Pacafi. That said their form is compelling, they are: 

JEANS MAITE 6.40 at 6/4 generally looks very hard to beat given her decisive victory at Southwell last week. She gets to race in the 0-50 bracket before her mark is reviewed and should be too good for this field in her current form though she has been busy this year. She was a course and distance winner in January so not a case of her just being a Fibresand mare. Is the current 6/4 generally available? We are not sure, the Roy Bowring/Lewis Edmunds combination is not our preferred route.

UNFORGIVING MINUTE 7.10 at 5/4 arrives on the back of a 7f success in this sphere at Lingfield, his second success from his last three starts, and Adam Kirby keeping the ride is a positive for Sean Curran's course and distance winner. We note Mythical Madness gets 4lb from that rival despite being rated 3lb higher on official figures and has course and distance form but now a 10yo with 77 next to his name.


2021 Cheltenham Festival Home Page

Just a reminder to members our first drafts of the races for the 2021 Cheltenham Festival are on site, please bookmark our Home Page where we have all the links. Setting aside the commentator's curse this is always a good time for us and we are looking to make a profit.


Today's Pacafi: click here

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